PnL (30d)

+$58

Sports · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$51

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+3.2%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

30%

3W / 7L · 34 open

Win Return (30d)

64%

28W / 16L

Trades (30d)

44

across 24 markets · ~2 per market

EV / position

+$8.32

avg win $26 · loss $5

Profit Factor

3.85

$79 won / $20 lost

Reward / Risk

5.14

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

$0

no drawdown

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	23.7% 9W/29L	128	$16,174
🏛 Politics	—	10	$1,127
⚽ Sports	—	1	$3
🤖 Tech	—	1	$28

Open positions

194 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Mandela Barnes win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?	No	936	1.000	$935.52	$86.57	+10.2%
Will Oliver Adams Larkin be the Democratic Nominee for FL-23?	No	738	0.997	$735.70	$44.05	+6.4%
Will the Republican Party win the TX-03 House seat?	Yes	829	0.865	$717.09	$-29.01	-3.9%
Will the Republican Party win the WA-05 House seat?	Yes	790	0.700	$553.00	$-66.10	-10.7%
Will Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 AL Central title?	No	800	0.645	$516.00	$36.05	+7.5%
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	800	0.635	$508.00	$24.00	+5.0%
Will the Republican Party win the FL-22 House seat?	Yes	850	0.590	$501.50	$-35.76	-6.7%
Will the Republican Party win the TN-05 House seat?	Yes	583	0.830	$483.88	$59.15	+13.9%
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-22 House seat?	No	815	0.590	$480.85	$42.35	+9.7%
Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-04 House seat?	Yes	519	0.900	$467.10	$15.57	+3.4%
Will the Republican Party win the FL-12 House seat?	Yes	530	0.825	$437.25	$24.99	+6.1%
Will John E. Sununu be the Republican nominee for Senate in New Hampshire?	Yes	450	0.960	$432.00	$31.50	+7.9%
Will the Republican Party win the TX-23 House seat?	Yes	560	0.695	$389.14	$12.02	+3.2%
Will the Democratic Party win the MI-07 House seat?	Yes	621	0.610	$378.78	$-52.95	-12.3%
Will the Republican Party win the OH-10 House seat?	Yes	448	0.830	$371.83	$39.63	+11.9%
Will the Republican Party win the WA-08 House seat?	No	385	0.930	$358.24	$17.61	+5.2%
Will the Republican Party win the MN-08 House seat?	Yes	395	0.875	$345.62	$42.24	+13.9%
Will the Republican Party win the FL-04 House seat?	Yes	419	0.795	$333.10	$26.63	+8.7%
Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026?	No	400	0.785	$314.23	$46.54	+17.4%
Will Eric Barlow win the 2026 Wyoming Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	485	0.645	$312.90	$195.40	+166.3%
Will the Democratic Party win the OH-10 House seat?	No	357	0.845	$301.66	$36.41	+13.7%
Will the Republican Party win the NJ-02 House seat?	Yes	361	0.800	$288.80	$30.89	+12.0%
Will Ed Markey be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Massachusetts?	Yes	362	0.785	$283.89	$35.88	+14.5%
Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-09 House seat?	Yes	295	0.900	$265.50	$18.17	+7.3%
Will the Republican Party win the MN-06 House seat?	Yes	304	0.840	$255.36	$17.75	+7.5%