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Trader leaderboard/BlackswanDefi

BlackswanDefi

0x28c39a9fa9f3fbf7de6067c0247e48176972da06
PnL (30d)
+$0
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$78
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
no reliable basis
Win Resolved (30d)
no 30d activity
Win Return (30d)
18%
3W / 14L
Trades (30d)
17
across 4 markets · ~4 per market
EV / position
no settled positions
Profit Factor
no losses yet
Reward / Risk
need wins & losses
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 4 $6,867
🏛 Politics 1 $20

Open positions

24 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? Yes 24,066 0.095 $2,286.31 $-361.00 -13.6%
Unit FDV above $400M one day after launch? Yes 2,000 0.405 $810.00 $130.00 +19.1%
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch? No 1,500 0.285 $427.35 $-397.65 -48.2%
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes 36,950 0.009 $351.03 $-148.95 -29.8%
Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes 50,000 0.006 $325.00 $-75.00 -18.8%
Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch? No 309 0.870 $268.83 $-20.70 -7.2%
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes 10,000 0.023 $230.00 $20.00 +9.5%
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes 30,000 0.006 $195.00 $-105.00 -35.0%
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? Yes 3,000 0.059 $175.50 $-55.50 -24.0%
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes 6,517 0.025 $159.66 $29.32 +22.5%
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No 1,400 0.114 $158.90 $-294.50 -65.0%
US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027? Yes 1,100 0.120 $132.00 $-121.00 -47.8%
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes 10,000 0.013 $130.00 $-50.00 -27.8%
Metamask FDV above $4B one day after launch? No 122 0.993 $120.99 $4.82 +4.1%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? Yes 244 0.465 $113.42 $89.03 +365.0%
Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes 42,857 0.003 $107.14 $-192.86 -64.3%
Will Tempo launch a token by September 30, 2026? No 86 0.985 $84.81 $29.70 +53.9%
Will HYPE flip SOL by December 31? Yes 1,000 0.080 $80.00 $-60.00 -42.9%
Will Iran legalize gay marriage? No 75 0.979 $73.13 $0.11 +0.2%
SBF released from custody in 2026? No 22 0.957 $21.04 $1.68 +8.7%
Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027? No 10 0.962 $9.78 $0.73 +8.1%
China coup attempt before 2027? Yes 42 0.030 $1.27 $-0.10 -7.6%
US recession by end of 2026? Yes 13 0.095 $1.27 $-3.27 -72.1%
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? Yes 13 0.095 $1.25 $-2.30 -64.8%