BullishBalzac
0x288bdd50e7b1d5a11f6fcf395c761a74844e0c3e
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
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PnL (30d)
+$7
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$2
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+4.3%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
78%
7W / 2L · 1 open
Win Return (30d)
70%
7W / 3L
Trades (30d)
10
across 8 markets · ~1 per market
EV / position
+$1.03
avg win $3 · loss $5
Profit Factor
1.78
$16 won / $9 lost
Reward / Risk
0.71
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $50 · all-time $38,507
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
3 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House |
Yes |
131 |
0.405 |
$53.09 |
$6.09 |
+13.0% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House |
Yes |
150 |
0.115 |
$17.25 |
$-15.75 |
-47.7% |
| Will Jay Feely win the AZ-01 Republican primary by 15–20%? |
Yes |
5 |
0.002 |
$0.01 |
$-2.99 |
-99.8% |