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Trader leaderboard/SaucePolly1

SaucePolly1

0x2869efa18cb55b1d8e9a5a607b90f33044bb527d
Scoped to Weather — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$63
Weather · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$0
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+1.9%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
66%
331W / 169L · 3 open
Win Return (30d)
66%
333W / 170L
Trades (30d)
503
across 183 markets · ~3 per market
EV / position
+$0.35
avg win $2 · loss $3
Profit Factor
1.34
$247 won / $184 lost
Reward / Risk
0.67
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $776 · all-time $918,084

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 66.0% 1,207W/621L 621 $11,603
🌤 Weather 100.0% 16W/0L 17 $682

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

199 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 37°C or higher on August 5? No 50 1.000 $49.98 $0.57 +1.2%
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C or higher on August 5? No 50 1.000 $49.98 $0.57 +1.2%
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C or below on August 5? No 50 1.000 $49.98 $0.57 +1.2%
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 79°F or below on August 5? No 50 0.991 $49.55 $0.15 +0.3%
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 38°C or higher on August 6? No 50 0.974 $48.70 $-0.70 -1.4%
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? No 53 0.895 $47.55 $17.58 +58.7%
Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? No 50 0.915 $45.75 $4.45 +10.8%
Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire governor race in 2026? No 40 0.841 $33.62 $2.29 +7.3%
Will the Republicans win the Vermont governor race in 2026? Yes 38 0.870 $32.75 $6.07 +22.7%
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027? No 40 0.785 $31.39 $19.19 +157.4%
Will XRP reach $4.00 by December 31, 2026? No 30 0.976 $29.28 $2.58 +9.7%
Felix Protocol FDV above $50M one day after launch? No 30 0.950 $28.48 $2.21 +8.4%
Will the Republicans win the South Dakota governor race in 2026? Yes 30 0.932 $27.98 $0.07 +0.3%
Will Top Esports win the LPL 2026 season? No 30 0.920 $27.64 $0.51 +1.9%
Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before 2027? No 30 0.915 $27.45 $5.85 +27.1%
Felix Protocol FDV above $25M one day after launch? No 30 0.880 $26.40 $18.78 +246.5%
Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026? No 29 0.885 $25.66 $4.49 +21.2%
Will Mike Lindell win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election? Yes 30 0.835 $25.05 $21.15 +542.3%
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? No 30 0.825 $24.75 $4.65 +23.1%
Will an independent win the Montana Senate race in 2026? No 30 0.817 $24.51 $-2.10 -7.9%
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes 37 0.635 $23.50 $16.48 +235.2%
Will Lee Zeldin leave the Trump administration before 2027? No 29 0.795 $23.05 $6.23 +37.1%
Will Ethena reach $0.60 by December 31, 2026? No 23 0.980 $22.13 $3.83 +20.9%
Will the Republicans win the Iowa governor race in 2026? No 30 0.670 $20.10 $-3.30 -14.1%
Will Michelle Bachelet be the next Secretary General of the United Nations? No 20 0.930 $18.60 $1.01 +5.7%