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Trader leaderboard/EconProf

EconProf

0x2811fa36ab944e265c3f5963e00914170b8f6818
Scoped to Culture — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$13
Culture · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$12
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-41.7%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
0%
0W / 2L · 3 open
Win Return (30d)
0%
0W / 5L
Trades (30d)
5
across 4 markets · ~1 per market
EV / position
−$12.50
· loss $13
Profit Factor
0.00
$0 won / $13 lost
Reward / Risk
need wins & losses
Max Drawdown
−$13
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $160 · all-time $25,888

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 54.5% 24W/20L 93 $3,283
🏛 Politics 100.0% 1W/0L 7 $286
💵 Economy 3 $70
🤖 Tech 1 $20
🎬 Culture 0.0% 0W/2L 1 $47
₿ Crypto 1 $30

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

85 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? Yes 1,466 0.983 $1,440.44 $125.66 +9.6%
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No 219 0.945 $206.63 $23.95 +13.1%
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? No 46 0.945 $43.71 $3.71 +9.3%
Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026? No 42 0.977 $40.77 $0.77 +1.9%
NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026? No 43 0.949 $40.74 $0.74 +1.9%
Israel agrees to Board of Peace Gaza plan by August 7? No 34 0.971 $33.48 $3.48 +11.6%
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31? No 34 0.969 $33.41 $3.41 +11.4%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in August? No 36 0.925 $33.04 $3.04 +10.1%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026? No 33 0.964 $32.12 $2.12 +7.1%
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? No 33 0.966 $32.11 $2.11 +7.0%
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026? No 37 0.855 $31.67 $1.67 +5.6%
Michael Saylor federally charged by December 31, 2026? No 34 0.925 $31.18 $1.18 +3.9%
Israel x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? No 32 0.978 $31.02 $1.02 +3.4%
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No 34 0.905 $30.85 $0.85 +2.8%
Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81 No 33 0.935 $30.82 $0.82 +2.7%
Will Qatar recognize Israel by December 31? No 32 0.964 $30.75 $0.75 +2.5%
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? No 31 0.988 $30.54 $0.54 +1.8%
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by September 30? No 32 0.965 $30.47 $0.47 +1.6%
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? No 34 0.907 $30.44 $0.44 +1.5%
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of December? No 31 0.970 $30.29 $0.29 +1.0%
Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No 31 0.980 $30.23 $0.23 +0.8%
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No 34 0.875 $30.18 $0.18 +0.6%
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? No 31 0.976 $30.17 $0.17 +0.6%
New pandemic in 2026? No 32 0.935 $30.16 $0.16 +0.5%
Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No 32 0.945 $30.11 $0.11 +0.4%