PnL (30d)

+$74

Politics · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$27

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+48.8%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

70%

188W / 81L · 30 open

Win Return (30d)

73%

218W / 81L

Trades (30d)

299

across 61 markets · ~5 per market

EV / position

+$1.40

avg win $5 · loss $11

Profit Factor

1.55

$208 won / $134 lost

Reward / Risk

0.45

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$48

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	65.4% 429W/227L	128	$1,538
🏛 Politics	67.8% 59W/28L	25	$188
🎬 Culture	67.8% 59W/28L	25	$188

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

71 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	120	0.425	$51.00	$46.38	+1005.0%
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	120	0.250	$30.00	$25.38	+550.0%
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	120	0.185	$22.20	$17.58	+381.0%
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	120	0.178	$21.42	$16.80	+364.1%
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	120	0.165	$19.80	$15.18	+329.0%
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	120	0.155	$18.60	$13.98	+303.0%
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	Yes	105	0.175	$18.38	$14.34	+355.0%
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	Yes	105	0.165	$17.32	$13.29	+329.0%
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	Yes	105	0.165	$17.32	$13.29	+329.0%
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	Yes	105	0.145	$15.22	$11.19	+277.0%
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	120	0.125	$15.00	$10.38	+225.0%
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	120	0.105	$12.60	$7.98	+173.0%
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	Yes	105	0.095	$9.97	$5.94	+147.0%
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	120	0.075	$9.00	$4.38	+95.0%
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	Yes	105	0.085	$8.93	$4.89	+121.0%
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	120	0.065	$7.80	$3.18	+69.0%
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	Yes	105	0.060	$6.30	$2.26	+56.0%
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	80	0.075	$6.00	$1.71	+39.8%
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	120	0.045	$5.40	$0.78	+17.0%
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	Yes	105	0.035	$3.72	$-0.32	-8.0%
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	120	0.028	$3.36	$-1.26	-27.2%
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	Yes	105	0.025	$2.62	$-1.41	-35.0%
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	120	0.019	$2.28	$-2.34	-50.6%
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	Yes	105	0.021	$2.25	$-1.79	-44.4%
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	Yes	105	0.015	$1.63	$-2.41	-59.7%