PnL (30d)

−$0

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$8

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

—

no reliable basis

Win Resolved (30d)

86%

6W / 1L · 1 open

Win Return (30d)

75%

6W / 2L

Trades (30d)

8

across 4 markets · ~2 per market

EV / position

−$0.11

avg win $0 · loss $1

Profit Factor

0.66

$1 won / $1 lost

Reward / Risk

0.33

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

$0

no drawdown

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	85.7% 6W/1L	4	$186
🏛 Politics	—	1	$177

Open positions

7 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	12,552	0.080	$1,004.14	$-2,008.52	-66.7%
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	7,219	0.115	$830.18	$-1,003.11	-54.7%
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?	Yes	860	0.835	$718.02	$-44.27	-5.8%
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	218	0.942	$205.35	$5.34	+2.7%
Will Solana dip to $20 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	1,919	0.085	$163.12	$-323.44	-66.5%
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	33	0.595	$19.51	$-0.49	-2.5%
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	No	18	0.775	$14.09	$4.09	+40.9%