Unfeared
0x27ecc8aa342af8138023f51feb982997ef70e521
Scoped to Economy — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$17
Economy · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
$0
no open positions
ROI (30d)
-0.4%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
55%
251W / 206L
Win Return (30d)
55%
251W / 206L
Trades (30d)
457
across 5 markets · ~91 per market
EV / position
−$3.39
avg win $3 · loss $13
Profit Factor
0.35
$9 won / $26 lost
Reward / Risk
0.23
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $349 · all-time $1,061,100
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
10 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? |
No |
40 |
0.963 |
$38.50 |
$-0.42 |
-1.1% |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? |
Yes |
15 |
0.886 |
$13.30 |
$4.82 |
+56.9% |
| Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel? |
No |
10 |
0.997 |
$9.96 |
$0.06 |
+0.7% |
| Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? |
No |
3 |
0.996 |
$3.30 |
$0.07 |
+2.0% |
| Will Alexander Vindman be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Florida? |
Yes |
1 |
0.915 |
$1.34 |
$0.39 |
+41.7% |
| Ostium FDV above $700M one day after launch? |
Yes |
21 |
0.045 |
$0.94 |
$-9.55 |
-91.0% |
| Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
18 |
0.024 |
$0.43 |
$-0.58 |
-57.4% |
| Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
3 |
0.117 |
$0.38 |
$-1.72 |
-81.8% |
| Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win the 2027 NFL league championship? |
Yes |
10 |
0.015 |
$0.14 |
$0.02 |
+20.8% |
| Will Hamburger SV win on 2026-05-10? |
No |
34 |
0.000 |
$0.00 |
$-1.36 |
-100.0% |