| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? |
No |
181 |
0.968 |
$174.78 |
$-0.45 |
-0.3% |
| 5kt meteor strike in 2026? |
Yes |
565 |
0.275 |
$155.43 |
$-43.99 |
-22.1% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? |
No |
183 |
0.845 |
$154.67 |
$-7.72 |
-4.8% |
| Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027? |
No |
163 |
0.755 |
$123.42 |
$-1.40 |
-1.1% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? |
No |
108 |
0.963 |
$104.20 |
$2.44 |
+2.4% |
| Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? |
No |
107 |
0.954 |
$102.06 |
$0.21 |
+0.2% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026? |
No |
115 |
0.885 |
$101.35 |
$-0.57 |
-0.6% |
| Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? |
No |
117 |
0.785 |
$92.02 |
$44.93 |
+95.4% |
| Will the July 2026 unemployment rate be 4.2%? |
Yes |
258 |
0.290 |
$74.71 |
$0.00 |
+0.0% |
| Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027? |
Yes |
92 |
0.787 |
$72.50 |
$-3.81 |
-5.0% |
| Iran invades Kuwait by August 31? |
No |
71 |
0.983 |
$70.23 |
$1.14 |
+1.7% |
| Will annual inflation be 3.4% in July? |
No |
99 |
0.540 |
$53.50 |
$-8.32 |
-13.5% |
| 9.0 or above earthquake before 2027? |
No |
48 |
0.934 |
$44.71 |
$-0.41 |
-0.9% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? |
No |
71 |
0.540 |
$38.39 |
$7.11 |
+22.7% |
| Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? |
Yes |
47 |
0.745 |
$35.21 |
$6.69 |
+23.5% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? |
No |
45 |
0.745 |
$33.74 |
$2.94 |
+9.6% |
| Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election? |
Yes |
32 |
0.987 |
$31.22 |
$0.84 |
+2.8% |
| Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election? |
Yes |
31 |
0.966 |
$29.58 |
$-0.09 |
-0.3% |
| Will annual inflation be 3.5% in July? |
Yes |
153 |
0.165 |
$25.30 |
$-2.30 |
-8.3% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in August? |
Yes |
174 |
0.125 |
$21.69 |
$-11.28 |
-34.2% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? |
No |
26 |
0.845 |
$21.67 |
$1.67 |
+8.3% |
| Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader in 2026? |
No |
25 |
0.785 |
$19.30 |
$-0.86 |
-4.3% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026? |
No |
17 |
0.925 |
$16.09 |
$1.13 |
+7.6% |
| Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor? |
No |
16 |
0.980 |
$16.02 |
$1.30 |
+8.8% |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? |
No |
16 |
0.925 |
$15.12 |
$0.08 |
+0.5% |