Log in
Trader leaderboard/aiwar

aiwar

0x277e6718cdf00f4f887d17589895ae031a337d32
PnL (30d)
−$6,172
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$4,002
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-6.6%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
26%
78W / 227L · 190 open
Win Return (30d)
22%
107W / 388L
Trades (30d)
495
across 34 markets · ~15 per market
EV / position
−$411.50
avg win $777 · loss $1,769
Profit Factor
0.50
$6,212 won / $12,385 lost
Reward / Risk
0.44
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$8,629
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $18,556 · all-time $829,120

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 25.6% 78W/227L 34 $128,360
💵 Economy 100.0% 4W/0L 3 $9,168
₿ Crypto 2 $4,924
🏛 Politics 100.0% 4W/0L 1 $3,014

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

15 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes 30,000 0.545 $16,349.88 $-4,654.23 -22.2%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? No 13,000 0.835 $10,854.92 $-634.98 -5.5%
Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes 14,000 0.625 $8,749.97 $-369.95 -4.1%
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? Yes 5,000 0.835 $4,175.03 $649.97 +18.4%
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? No 4,310 0.919 $3,960.95 $-21.35 -0.5%
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes 4,000 0.886 $3,546.14 $-7.79 -0.2%
Will Solana dip to $60 by December 31, 2026? Yes 4,000 0.656 $2,623.98 $-653.47 -19.9%
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes 8,000 0.278 $2,219.93 $373.92 +20.3%
Will Hyperliquid reach $80 by December 31, 2026? Yes 6,000 0.325 $1,949.85 $-2,417.23 -55.4%
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes 2,000 0.785 $1,570.00 $-90.00 -5.4%
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? Yes 2,000 0.450 $900.12 $-730.50 -44.8%
Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31? Yes 2,000 0.270 $540.04 $-576.33 -51.6%
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes 2,000 0.255 $510.09 $-149.75 -22.7%
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? Yes 1,010 0.215 $217.17 $-124.71 -36.5%
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? Yes 2,000 0.095 $189.97 $-989.85 -83.9%