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Trader leaderboard/lll999

lll999

0x275486f43fc3d5f43bde995c30f2142635391668
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$5
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$4
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-2.1%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
41%
40W / 57L · 27 open
Win Return (30d)
43%
53W / 70L · 1 open
Trades (30d)
124
across 28 markets · ~4 per market
EV / position
−$0.31
avg win $1 · loss $1
Profit Factor
0.49
$5 won / $10 lost
Reward / Risk
0.44
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$1
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $6,916 · all-time $372,324

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 56.9% 5,387W/4,088L 1658 $34,163
⚽ Sports 45.9% 454W/535L 259 $3,598
🌤 Weather 55.1% 87W/71L 27 $567
💵 Economy 57.9% 11W/8L 14 $135
₿ Crypto 52.9% 9W/8L 12 $101
🏛 Politics 83.3% 20W/4L 10 $161
🎬 Culture 84.6% 22W/4L 6 $173
🤖 Tech 100.0% 18W/0L 1 $88

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

21 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 3.50% and 3.99%? No 4 0.971 $4.34 $1.29 +42.3%
Anduril vs Lockheed Martin - higher valuation on December 31? Lockheed Martin 5 0.870 $4.26 $1.47 +52.6%
Will the close USD/JPY price at the end of 2026 be between 150 and 160? Yes 9 0.355 $3.13 $-0.75 -19.3%
Diddy released from custody in 2026? No 3 0.777 $2.56 $0.35 +16.0%
Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026? No 3 0.770 $2.03 $0.55 +37.5%
Will Luke Bronin be the Democratic nominee for CT-01? No 7 0.265 $1.91 $-0.97 -33.8%
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No 4 0.455 $1.72 $-0.28 -14.2%
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2 0.835 $1.59 $0.43 +36.9%
Game Handicap: Bald (-1.5) vs KW (+1.5) KW 3 0.500 $1.51 $-0.06 -3.8%
Shamrock Rovers FC vs. KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë: Team to Advance Shamrock Rovers FC 2 0.750 $1.26 $0.24 +22.9%
Will Genter Drummond win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election? No 1 0.740 $1.04 $0.03 +2.8%
Will July 2026 be the 3rd hottest on record? No 1 0.953 $1.00 $0.34 +51.2%
Will Los Angeles FC win on 2026-08-05? No 2 0.625 $0.99 $0.13 +15.7%
Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31? No 2 0.465 $0.93 $-0.07 -7.0%
Will Virginia reach D4 (Exceptional Drought) by August 31, 2026? No 1 0.925 $0.93 $0.14 +17.1%
Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the October Meeting? No 2 0.465 $0.81 $-0.08 -8.8%
Arc FDV above $1B one day after launch? No 1 0.470 $0.48 $-0.12 -20.3%
Alcatraz reopened in 2026? Yes 10 0.024 $0.23 $-0.77 -76.5%
Will ICU Medical (ICUI) beat quarterly earnings? No 2 0.073 $0.11 $-0.60 -84.0%
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on August 5? Yes 8 0.007 $0.06 $-5.06 -98.8%
Will Haley Stevens win Genesee County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary? No 1 0.033 $0.04 $-0.77 -94.5%