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Trader leaderboard/hollen28

hollen28

0x274e75b55aa3d8ef63e0edf9c9d4846e061e648c
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$683
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$1,290
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-25.4%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
7%
2W / 28L · 32 open
Win Return (30d)
42%
26W / 36L
Trades (30d)
62
across 13 markets · ~5 per market
EV / position
−$97.54
avg win $9 · loss $115
Profit Factor
0.01
$9 won / $691 lost
Reward / Risk
0.08
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$382
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $8,791 · all-time $267,805

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 25.9% 15W/43L 24 $13,960
🏛 Politics 20.0% 2W/8L 6 $5,172

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

17 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Carlos Moore win the 2026 GA-13 special election? No 2,410 1.000 $2,408.79 $1,132.37 +88.7%
Will Charity Clark win the 2026 Vermont Governor Democratic primary election? No 1,195 1.000 $1,194.03 $391.51 +48.8%
Will Eric Barlow win the 2026 Wyoming Governor Republican primary election? Yes 1,080 0.645 $697.12 $395.12 +130.8%
Will Austin Rogers be the FL-02 Republican nominee? Yes 883 0.335 $295.87 $83.87 +39.6%
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez announce a Presidential run before 2027? No 275 0.930 $255.52 $48.22 +23.3%
Will Candace Owens announce a presidential run before 2027? No 247 0.928 $229.36 $28.34 +14.1%
Will Brian Kemp announce a presidential run before 2027? No 229 0.930 $212.66 $51.50 +32.0%
Will Frank Chapman be the WY-AL Republican nominee? No 167 0.994 $165.98 $5.53 +3.4%
Will Dan Koh be the Democratic nominee for MA-06? Yes 160 0.765 $122.28 $9.98 +8.9%
Colorado bill to decriminalize sex work becomes law in 2026? No 193 0.544 $104.86 $-30.76 -22.7%
Will Steve Bannon announce a presidential run before 2027? No 111 0.925 $102.97 $16.86 +19.6%
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? No 200 0.394 $78.70 $24.70 +45.7%
Will Letitia Plummer win the 2026 Harris County Judge election? No 296 0.085 $25.16 $1.28 +5.4%
Will Cait Conley win the NY-17 Democratic Primary by 5–10%? Yes 457 0.014 $6.40 $-39.81 -86.2%
Will Cait Conley win the NY-17 Democratic Primary by less than 5%? Yes 879 0.001 $0.44 $-66.71 -99.3%
Will Mallory McMorrow win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? Yes 803 0.001 $0.40 $-20.60 -98.1%
Will Cait Conley win the NY-17 Democratic Primary by 10–15%? Yes 200 0.001 $0.10 $-69.90 -99.9%