| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
No |
84 |
0.845 |
$70.84 |
$6.29 |
+9.7% |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
52 |
0.117 |
$6.11 |
$-0.16 |
-2.6% |
| Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026? |
Yes |
21 |
0.275 |
$5.82 |
$0.36 |
+6.7% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
16 |
0.355 |
$5.69 |
$-0.18 |
-3.1% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? |
Yes |
8 |
0.675 |
$5.15 |
$0.75 |
+17.1% |
| Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? |
No |
7 |
0.715 |
$5.15 |
$0.63 |
+13.8% |
| Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by December 31? |
Yes |
4 |
0.999 |
$3.68 |
$0.06 |
+1.6% |
| Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
43 |
0.075 |
$3.22 |
$-0.51 |
-13.8% |
| US strike on Colombia by December 31? |
Yes |
13 |
0.235 |
$3.07 |
$0.46 |
+17.6% |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
27 |
0.088 |
$2.35 |
$0.14 |
+6.5% |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? |
No |
2 |
0.830 |
$1.52 |
$0.16 |
+12.1% |
| Adam Back confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31? |
No |
1 |
0.977 |
$1.42 |
$0.04 |
+3.2% |
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027? |
Yes |
6 |
0.210 |
$1.34 |
$-0.14 |
-9.2% |
| Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
51 |
0.025 |
$1.30 |
$-0.03 |
-2.3% |
| Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31? |
Yes |
3 |
0.380 |
$1.21 |
$-0.08 |
-6.5% |
| Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
126 |
0.009 |
$1.20 |
$-0.25 |
-17.3% |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
1 |
0.930 |
$1.16 |
$0.08 |
+7.6% |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30? |
Yes |
10 |
0.115 |
$1.14 |
$-0.25 |
-18.1% |
| Iran Nuke before 2027? |
No |
1 |
0.952 |
$1.12 |
$0.05 |
+4.7% |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? |
Yes |
5 |
0.185 |
$1.01 |
$-0.19 |
-15.9% |
| GTA 6 launch postponed again? |
Yes |
8 |
0.110 |
$0.85 |
$-0.22 |
-20.4% |
| Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? |
Yes |
10 |
0.080 |
$0.80 |
$-0.30 |
-27.3% |
| Will Donald Trump visit Germany in 2026? |
Yes |
2 |
0.335 |
$0.70 |
$-0.25 |
-26.4% |
| Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026? |
Yes |
3 |
0.250 |
$0.64 |
$-0.48 |
-43.2% |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
1 |
0.460 |
$0.53 |
$0.08 |
+17.1% |