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Trader

0x26bb798464eae4c24b2ddba0ea68d792e5a203cf
Scoped to Crypto — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$11
Crypto · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$4
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-3.5%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
13%
7W / 48L · 4 open
Win Return (30d)
12%
7W / 50L · 2 open
Trades (30d)
59
across 10 markets · ~6 per market
EV / position
−$1.41
avg win $27 · loss $18
Profit Factor
0.88
$81 won / $92 lost
Reward / Risk
1.46
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $753 · all-time $26,820

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 31.0% 39W/87L 72 $1,978
🏛 Politics 4 $30
💵 Economy 2 $10
₿ Crypto 1 $5

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

51 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes 438 0.278 $121.42 $2.44 +2.1%
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? No 114 0.925 $105.90 $10.89 +11.5%
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31? Yes 528 0.175 $92.42 $44.60 +93.3%
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? No 98 0.885 $86.50 $10.54 +13.9%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? Yes 76 0.680 $51.56 $40.56 +368.7%
Will the Grand Theft Auto VI PS5 launch price be at least $70? Yes 46 0.978 $45.14 $-0.09 -0.2%
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? No 37 0.968 $35.52 $9.80 +38.1%
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31? No 36 0.966 $34.88 $5.01 +16.8%
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% before 2027? Yes 61 0.565 $34.49 $23.50 +213.8%
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31? Yes 53 0.630 $33.43 $12.28 +58.0%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? Yes 35 0.785 $27.71 $9.17 +49.5%
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No 32 0.875 $27.69 $2.69 +10.8%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9? Yes 29 0.945 $27.20 $10.57 +63.5%
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026? No 30 0.875 $26.04 $1.04 +4.2%
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? No 26 0.960 $24.77 $-0.23 -0.9%
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026? No 25 0.976 $24.65 $-0.35 -1.4%
Will Nigel Farage get second place in the Clacton by-election? No 22 0.989 $21.73 $0.46 +2.2%
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? No 34 0.635 $21.46 $-3.55 -14.2%
Will Chainlink reach $26 by December 31, 2026? No 21 0.910 $19.50 $-0.77 -3.8%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? Yes 18 1.000 $18.21 $4.73 +35.1%
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? No 46 0.345 $15.89 $5.60 +54.4%
Will Solana dip to $60 by December 31, 2026? No 46 0.344 $15.74 $-3.02 -16.1%
Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31? No 15 0.875 $12.94 $5.60 +76.3%
Will USD/JPY hit 120 (Low) in 2026? No 12 0.963 $12.01 $0.45 +3.9%
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? No 56 0.215 $11.94 $-13.06 -52.2%