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Trader

0x26aa6eec2ccf20f53bd0c8810c11b8df9e079d4d
Scoped to Weather — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$27
Weather · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$0
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-18.2%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
1%
49W / 3,305L · 189 open
Win Return (30d)
2%
63W / 3,470L · 10 open
Trades (30d)
3,543
across 2,978 markets · ~1 per market
EV / position
−$0.01
avg win $5 · loss $0
Profit Factor
0.81
$113 won / $140 lost
Reward / Risk
98.13
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$35
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $11,001 · all-time $532,043

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 1.7% 269W/15,920L 14222 $730
🌤 Weather 2.0% 38W/1,903L 1784 $90

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

200 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Exact Score: Caracas FC 3 - 3 Botafogo FR? Yes 10 0.500 $5.00 $4.90 +4900.0%
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on August 5? Yes 5 0.985 $4.92 $4.88 +9750.0%
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on August 5? Yes 5 0.822 $4.11 $4.06 +8115.0%
Will USDT market cap hit $200B before 2027? No 5 0.615 $3.08 $3.02 +6050.0%
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $660 in May? No 5 0.500 $2.50 $2.45 +4900.0%
Exact Score: Boyacá Chicó FC 3 - 3 Atlético Nacional? Yes 5 0.498 $2.49 $2.44 +4885.0%
Exact Score: CD Coquimbo Unido 0 - 3 CD Universidad de Concepción? Yes 5 0.496 $2.48 $2.43 +4865.0%
KBO: KT Wiz vs. Lotte Giants Lotte Giants 5 0.495 $2.48 $2.42 +4850.0%
KBO: Samsung Lions vs. Kia Tigers Kia Tigers 5 0.485 $2.42 $2.38 +4750.0%
Will Jonathan Hofeller be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO? Yes 10 0.211 $2.11 $2.01 +2009.9%
Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on March 26? Up 5 0.275 $1.38 $1.32 +2650.0%
Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on March 31? Up 5 0.251 $1.25 $1.20 +2409.6%
Exact Score: Aston Villa FC 6 - 1 Liverpool FC? Yes 5 0.150 $0.75 $0.70 +1404.6%
Exact Score: CD Coquimbo Unido 3 - 3 CD Universidad de Concepción? Yes 5 0.149 $0.75 $0.70 +1394.6%
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on August 5? Yes 5 0.135 $0.68 $0.62 +1250.0%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on August 5? Yes 5 0.123 $0.62 $0.57 +1134.6%
Will the lowest temperature in London be 17°C on August 5? Yes 5 0.111 $0.55 $0.50 +1004.8%
Exact Score: Any Other Score? Yes 1 0.500 $0.51 $0.49 +4898.5%
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 35°C on August 5? Yes 5 0.101 $0.50 $0.45 +905.0%
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 20°C on August 5? No 5 0.075 $0.38 $0.33 +650.0%
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 36°C on August 6? Yes 5 0.070 $0.35 $0.30 +600.0%
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on August 5? Yes 5 0.058 $0.29 $0.24 +480.0%
Will the lowest temperature in London be 12°C on August 6? Yes 5 0.053 $0.27 $0.21 +430.0%
Will Michael Echols be the Republican nominee for LA-05? Yes 5 0.052 $0.26 $0.21 +425.0%
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on August 7? Yes 5 0.048 $0.24 $0.19 +380.0%