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Trader leaderboard/asasa1

asasa1

0x269861bc71d024134bfd0e67c8cbf12c4ed72941
Scoped to Economy — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$10
Economy · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$8
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-6.5%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
26%
10W / 29L · 32 open
Win Return (30d)
39%
27W / 42L · 2 open
Trades (30d)
71
across 30 markets · ~2 per market
EV / position
−$0.80
avg win $1 · loss $1
Profit Factor
0.15
$2 won / $11 lost
Reward / Risk
0.46
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$1
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $6,520 · all-time $368,688

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 57.0% 4,569W/3,450L 1511 $29,647
⚽ Sports 46.6% 439W/504L 218 $3,197
🌤 Weather 56.9% 91W/69L 28 $559
🏛 Politics 100.0% 96W/0L 11 $469
💵 Economy 66.7% 8W/4L 9 $69
₿ Crypto 42.9% 3W/4L 8 $57
🎬 Culture 100.0% 15W/0L 4 $54
🤖 Tech 4 $42
🔬 Science 1 $6

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

15 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Waymo operate in 12-15 cities on December 31 2026? No 7 0.747 $5.23 $-0.12 -2.3%
Will Maxx Crosby play for Las Vegas Raiders next? Yes 6 0.819 $5.13 $0.51 +11.0%
Will the Phoenix Mercury make the 2026 WNBA Playoffs? No 5 0.865 $3.96 $0.71 +21.8%
Weed rescheduled by December 31? No 4 0.795 $3.32 $0.75 +29.3%
Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by September 30? No 4 0.680 $2.75 $1.05 +61.9%
Will Russia enter Havrylivka by September 30, 2026? No 2 0.880 $1.79 $1.46 +450.0%
Amazon 2026 capex above $220B? No 5 0.340 $1.63 $-0.43 -20.9%
Will the lowest temperature in London be 18°C on August 5? No 4 0.445 $1.60 $0.09 +5.9%
Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $180 in August? No 2 0.600 $1.36 $-0.02 -1.6%
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PSD? No 2 0.638 $1.32 $0.37 +38.8%
QFEX FDV above $80M one day after launch? No 2 0.680 $1.20 $0.25 +25.9%
Will CF Monterrey win on 2026-08-05? Yes 2 0.415 $0.84 $-0.13 -13.5%
T20 Blast: Derbyshire vs Yorkshire Yorkshire 1 0.500 $0.74 $-0.01 -2.0%
Another critical Cloudflare incident by August 31, 2026? Yes 2 0.258 $0.63 $-0.64 -50.5%
Will Nous Research launch a token by December 31, 2027? Yes 2 0.290 $0.62 $-0.38 -38.3%