PnL (30d)

−$395

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$55

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-4.2%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

36%

158W / 281L · 62 open

Win Return (30d)

34%

168W / 326L · 7 open

Trades (30d)

501

across 122 markets · ~4 per market

EV / position

−$3.73

avg win $38 · loss $20

Profit Factor

0.74

$1,134 won / $1,530 lost

Reward / Risk

1.88

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$232

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	36.0% 158W/281L	122	$17,645
🏛 Politics	40.7% 11W/16L	13	$1,208
🎬 Culture	40.7% 11W/16L	12	$1,023
⚽ Sports	100.0% 1W/0L	3	$231
💵 Economy	0.0% 0W/2L	3	$248

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

3 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)	Ian Machado Garry	975	0.255	$248.53	$-7.74	-3.0%
Will Lauri Saaskilahti Win the 2026 WSOP Main Event?	Yes	167	0.398	$66.29	$-1.71	-2.5%
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	217	0.245	$53.19	$-0.34	-0.6%