cerco
0x25a74e4d0795b842a4e8e934620781e3c5f48b7c
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$3
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$146
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-0.1%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
60%
3W / 2L · 4 open
Win Return (30d)
33%
3W / 6L
Trades (30d)
9
across 6 markets · ~2 per market
EV / position
−$0.96
avg win $0 · loss $3
Profit Factor
0.16
$1 won / $3 lost
Reward / Risk
0.08
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$3
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $2,190 · all-time $2,206,502
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
| Category |
Win Resolved (per trade) |
Markets |
Volume |
|
🌐 All markets
|
67.6%
96W/46L
|
59 |
$64,352 |
|
🏛 Politics
|
0.0%
0W/2L
|
2 |
$2,197 |
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
3 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? |
No |
2,087 |
0.957 |
$1,996.69 |
$-3.30 |
-0.2% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30? |
No |
102 |
0.985 |
$100.66 |
$0.66 |
+0.7% |
| Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
1,333 |
0.009 |
$11.33 |
$-0.67 |
-5.5% |