| Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? |
No |
2,980 |
0.825 |
$2,458.76 |
$1,016.41 |
+70.5% |
| Weed rescheduled by December 31? |
Yes |
11,004 |
0.204 |
$2,249.13 |
$-1,588.66 |
-41.4% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
5,676 |
0.350 |
$1,986.73 |
$-784.27 |
-28.3% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? |
Yes |
6,397 |
0.305 |
$1,951.12 |
$446.64 |
+29.7% |
| Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition? |
Yes |
2,127 |
0.725 |
$1,541.84 |
$53.79 |
+3.6% |
| Trump goes to space in 2026? |
No |
1,181 |
0.984 |
$1,161.02 |
$41.91 |
+3.7% |
| No listed company closes Warner Bros acquisition by June 30, 2027 |
Yes |
4,486 |
0.255 |
$1,144.02 |
$433.50 |
+61.0% |
| Will Tesla release Optimus by December 31, 2026? |
No |
1,280 |
0.855 |
$1,094.65 |
$61.71 |
+6.0% |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
8,725 |
0.115 |
$1,003.34 |
$-2,312.32 |
-69.7% |
| Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? |
No |
832 |
0.968 |
$804.67 |
$84.42 |
+11.7% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
Yes |
2,975 |
0.260 |
$771.98 |
$-173.16 |
-18.3% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? |
Yes |
4,840 |
0.145 |
$701.87 |
$-80.56 |
-10.3% |
| Andrew Tate Extradited to UK by Sep 30? |
No |
609 |
0.925 |
$563.43 |
$63.96 |
+12.8% |
| Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? |
No |
1,155 |
0.420 |
$485.25 |
$80.87 |
+20.0% |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? |
Yes |
1,145 |
0.265 |
$303.44 |
$-83.56 |
-21.6% |
| Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? |
Yes |
42,348 |
0.006 |
$254.09 |
$-4,105.95 |
-94.2% |
| Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? |
Yes |
2,835 |
0.065 |
$184.27 |
$-306.48 |
-62.5% |
| Will Trump flip the bird again in 2026? |
No |
177 |
0.865 |
$152.96 |
$39.20 |
+34.5% |
| Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? |
Yes |
4,709 |
0.030 |
$143.62 |
$-167.80 |
-53.9% |
| Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026? |
Yes |
2,747 |
0.051 |
$141.46 |
$-1,199.57 |
-89.5% |
| Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? |
Yes |
1,326 |
0.105 |
$139.23 |
$-99.45 |
-41.7% |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? |
No |
1,190 |
0.114 |
$135.05 |
$-577.31 |
-81.0% |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman by September 30, 2026? |
Yes |
2,343 |
0.054 |
$126.55 |
$-213.89 |
-62.8% |
| Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2027? |
Yes |
780 |
0.135 |
$105.36 |
$21.04 |
+25.0% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? |
Yes |
183 |
0.555 |
$101.54 |
$6.45 |
+6.8% |