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Scoped to Economy — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
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PnL (30d)
+$587
Economy · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$371
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+4.5%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
85%
22W / 4L · 10 open
Win Return (30d)
89%
32W / 4L
Trades (30d)
36
across 11 markets · ~3 per market
EV / position
+$65.18
avg win $84 · loss $1
Profit Factor
424.67
$588 won / $1 lost
Reward / Risk
121.33
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$220
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $31,770 · all-time $1,945,772
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
4 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch? |
No |
1,591 |
0.909 |
$1,446.01 |
$48.40 |
+3.5% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
Yes |
5,000 |
0.155 |
$775.00 |
$-283.33 |
-26.8% |
| Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch? |
No |
739 |
0.905 |
$668.39 |
$52.81 |
+8.6% |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? |
Yes |
250 |
0.685 |
$171.25 |
$13.75 |
+8.7% |