trader-23b4fbcc
0x23b4fbcc9edc3fd7a25d4ce3e41d2a5ce1028e7a
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$4
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$0
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+1.3%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
55%
40W / 33L · 14 open
Win Return (30d)
58%
50W / 36L · 1 open
Trades (30d)
87
across 10 markets · ~9 per market
EV / position
+$0.64
avg win $2 · loss $0
Profit Factor
6.62
$5 won / $1 lost
Reward / Risk
6.62
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$0
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $188 · all-time $9,704
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
8 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor? |
Yes |
56 |
0.980 |
$54.40 |
$0.31 |
+0.6% |
| Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election? |
Yes |
51 |
0.987 |
$50.16 |
$0.16 |
+0.3% |
| Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election? |
No |
51 |
0.987 |
$50.10 |
$0.10 |
+0.2% |
| Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor? |
No |
51 |
0.980 |
$49.70 |
$-0.30 |
-0.6% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026? |
No |
50 |
0.986 |
$49.65 |
$-0.35 |
-0.7% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026? |
No |
51 |
0.976 |
$49.62 |
$-0.38 |
-0.8% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? |
No |
51 |
0.968 |
$48.86 |
$-1.14 |
-2.3% |
| Will Jay Collins be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor? |
No |
20 |
0.999 |
$20.09 |
$0.09 |
+0.5% |