0x234
0x2375550d3b98ce364476c81f663a0b878cb0691f
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$184
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$0
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-23.2%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
46%
40W / 47L · 6 open
Win Return (30d)
49%
46W / 47L
Trades (30d)
93
across 21 markets · ~4 per market
EV / position
−$9.21
avg win $15 · loss $39
Profit Factor
0.47
$166 won / $350 lost
Reward / Risk
0.39
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$37
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $1,766 · all-time $1,400,174
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
3 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Will Trump say "Stock Market" during remarks in Las Vegas? |
Yes |
939 |
0.915 |
$859.18 |
$109.52 |
+14.6% |
| Cap on gambling loss deductions repealed before 2027? |
No |
406 |
0.830 |
$336.98 |
$112.85 |
+50.4% |
| Will Matt Claman advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election? |
Yes |
1 |
0.011 |
$0.01 |
$-0.18 |
-94.1% |