| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? |
No |
500 |
0.981 |
$490.25 |
$-0.25 |
-0.1% |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? |
No |
200 |
0.945 |
$189.00 |
$25.00 |
+15.2% |
| Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch? |
Yes |
211 |
0.760 |
$160.56 |
$10.56 |
+7.0% |
| Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? |
No |
150 |
0.968 |
$145.12 |
$19.88 |
+15.9% |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? |
No |
120 |
0.963 |
$115.50 |
$3.90 |
+3.5% |
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? |
No |
120 |
0.942 |
$112.90 |
$5.22 |
+4.8% |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on August 5? |
Yes |
50 |
0.980 |
$49.00 |
$2.50 |
+5.4% |
| Will Donald Trump be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? |
No |
30 |
0.999 |
$29.95 |
$0.46 |
+1.6% |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $15,000 by end of December? |
No |
21 |
0.976 |
$20.01 |
$0.01 |
+0.1% |
| Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch? |
No |
21 |
0.968 |
$19.85 |
$-0.15 |
-0.8% |
| Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch? |
No |
21 |
0.962 |
$19.76 |
$-0.24 |
-1.2% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
Yes |
30 |
0.655 |
$19.65 |
$3.45 |
+21.3% |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? |
No |
20 |
0.905 |
$18.10 |
$3.50 |
+24.0% |
| Will Trump wear a Yarmulke in 2026? |
No |
15 |
0.845 |
$12.67 |
$2.92 |
+30.0% |
| Will Marco Rubio be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? |
No |
10 |
0.999 |
$10.14 |
$0.14 |
+1.4% |
| Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
No |
10 |
0.995 |
$10.11 |
$0.11 |
+1.1% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? |
No |
10 |
0.991 |
$10.10 |
$0.10 |
+1.0% |
| Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? |
No |
10 |
0.988 |
$10.08 |
$0.08 |
+0.8% |
| Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
No |
10 |
0.997 |
$10.08 |
$0.08 |
+0.8% |
| Will Vinicius Junior join Paris Saint-Germain? |
No |
10 |
0.996 |
$10.07 |
$0.07 |
+0.7% |
| Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
No |
10 |
0.991 |
$10.04 |
$0.04 |
+0.4% |
| Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
No |
10 |
0.985 |
$10.01 |
$0.01 |
+0.1% |
| Will Jorge Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? |
No |
10 |
0.996 |
$9.99 |
$-0.01 |
-0.1% |
| Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
No |
10 |
0.970 |
$9.98 |
$-0.02 |
-0.2% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? |
No |
10 |
0.987 |
$9.97 |
$-0.03 |
-0.3% |