PnL (30d)

−$641

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$63

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-15.9%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

24%

73W / 229L · 101 open

Win Return (30d)

25%

88W / 264L · 51 open

Trades (30d)

403

across 176 markets · ~2 per market

EV / position

−$5.13

avg win $10 · loss $12

Profit Factor

0.38

$396 won / $1,037 lost

Reward / Risk

0.87

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$175

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	24.2% 73W/229L	176	$6,384
₿ Crypto	—	6	$348
💵 Economy	—	6	$348
🏛 Politics	0.0% 0W/4L	5	$135
🎬 Culture	33.3% 2W/4L	5	$175
⚽ Sports	100.0% 1W/0L	4	$149
🤖 Tech	100.0% 2W/0L	1	$59

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

20 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Total Crypto Market Cap hit 3.75T in 2026?	No	101	0.935	$94.43	$-1.51	-1.6%
Will Anthropic's public ticker be $CLDE?	No	100	0.930	$93.05	$-5.35	-5.4%
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $700B by December 31?	No	125	0.725	$90.62	$-16.88	-15.7%
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $610 Week of August 3 2026?	No	65	0.575	$37.38	$-19.82	-34.7%
Will Leavitt say "President" 50+ times during the next White House Press Briefing?	Yes	50	0.745	$37.25	$-3.25	-8.0%
Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $328 Week of August 3 2026?	No	32	0.930	$29.37	$0.95	+3.3%
Will Marconi Perillo win the Governor of Goiás election?	No	25	0.967	$24.16	$0.86	+3.7%
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. announce a presidential run before 2028?	No	25	0.820	$20.50	$-1.75	-7.9%
Will Chelsea Clinton announce a Presidential run before 2028?	No	21	0.955	$20.05	$0.10	+0.5%
Will Tucker Carlson announce a presidential run before 2028?	No	25	0.765	$19.12	$-3.38	-15.0%
Will Liz Cheney announce a Presidential run before 2028?	No	20	0.930	$18.60	$0.20	+1.1%
Will Jamie Hill be the MI-02 Democratic nominee?	No	20	0.922	$18.45	$0.07	+0.4%
Will John Thune announce a presidential run before 2028?	No	20	0.910	$18.20	$0.20	+1.1%
Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $385 Week of August 3 2026?	No	55	0.310	$16.91	$-34.37	-67.0%
Will Trace Esports be a 2027 VCT CN partner team?	No	21	0.800	$16.80	$1.26	+8.1%
Will Rand Paul announce a presidential run before 2028?	No	21	0.640	$13.44	$-5.88	-30.4%
Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $325 Week of August 3 2026?	Yes	101	0.021	$2.12	$-0.91	-30.0%
Will Total Crypto Market Cap hit 3.5T in 2026?	Yes	20	0.080	$1.60	$-0.60	-27.3%
Will Hillary Clinton announce a Presidential run before 2028?	Yes	25	0.060	$1.50	$0.00	+0.0%
Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $630 Week of August 3 2026?	Yes	6	0.022	$0.13	$-0.11	-45.0%