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Trader leaderboard/qqqppp-l1

qqqppp-l1

0x229c0a7d92977a9934e5ac2348d507988996b966
Scoped to Weather — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$484
Weather · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$32
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+15.1%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
23%
911W / 3,012L · 47 open
Win Return (30d)
24%
937W / 3,033L
Trades (30d)
3,970
across 384 markets · ~10 per market
EV / position
+$1.29
avg win $18 · loss $9
Profit Factor
1.23
$2,623 won / $2,140 lost
Reward / Risk
2.00
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$181
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $56,508 · all-time $3,520,678

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 20.6% 4,677W/17,978L 3166 $25,339
🌤 Weather 28.2% 532W/1,357L 183 $2,542
💵 Economy 16.9% 54W/265L 87 $239
🏛 Politics 5.6% 5W/84L 85 $254
₿ Crypto 14.6% 55W/321L 75 $231
🎬 Culture 10.4% 5W/43L 54 $147
🤖 Tech 0.0% 0W/2L 15 $38
⚽ Sports 0.0% 0W/6L 7 $7

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

200 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Amir Hassan be the MI-08 Republican nominee? No 199 0.750 $148.81 $139.76 +1543.5%
Will Arman Tsarukyan fight Charles Oliveira next? Yes 100 0.963 $96.30 $95.30 +9530.0%
Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026? No 207 0.415 $85.94 $78.94 +1127.8%
Iman Vellani as Ms. Marvel? No 144 0.470 $67.60 $61.31 +973.9%
Will Uber say "Delivery" 10+ times during earnings call? No 105 0.470 $49.17 $44.17 +883.6%
Project Helix release by May 31, 2027? Yes 100 0.455 $45.50 $44.50 +4450.0%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 37°C on August 6? No 61 0.615 $37.71 $13.72 +57.2%
Will Shakira's monthly listeners figure hit 107m by August 31? No 55 0.659 $35.99 $32.00 +800.0%
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on August 5? No 44 0.750 $33.08 $14.55 +78.5%
Will Anthropic's public ticker be $AAI? No 37 0.852 $31.26 $27.74 +788.7%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on August 11? No 45 0.685 $30.74 $18.75 +156.4%
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on August 5? No 68 0.415 $28.41 $2.42 +9.3%
Will Marcye Scott win the 2026 GA-13 special election? No 199 0.141 $27.92 $21.92 +365.4%
Will Leavitt say "CDC" or "WHO" during the next White House Press Briefing? No 56 0.485 $27.11 $23.09 +573.6%
Will any state enact a data center moratorium by December 31? No 99 0.273 $26.98 $25.99 +2625.0%
Pacifica FDV above $100M one day after launch? Yes 104 0.255 $26.59 $22.64 +573.0%
Will Uber say "Mobility" 10+ times during earnings call? No 55 0.485 $26.49 $22.49 +562.4%
Kim Kardashian and Lewis Hamilton engaged in 2026? No 30 0.880 $26.07 $23.07 +769.0%
Will MarketAxess (MKTX) beat quarterly earnings? No 205 0.125 $25.58 $19.58 +326.3%
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 25°C on August 5? No 68 0.370 $25.33 $-0.66 -2.5%
Will Akhmat Kadyrov win the 2026 Chechnya gubernatorial elections? No 24 0.989 $24.07 $22.28 +1242.7%
SpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down on August 5? Down 33 0.730 $23.90 $20.78 +665.1%
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on August 6? No 37 0.615 $22.74 $6.75 +42.2%
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on August 5? No 99 0.223 $21.93 $-11.05 -33.5%
Will Jonathan Hofeller be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO? Yes 100 0.211 $21.10 $20.10 +2010.0%