PnL (30d)

+$3

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$1

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+5.8%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

100%

2W / 0L · 10 open

Win Return (30d)

60%

6W / 4L · 2 open

Trades (30d)

12

across 6 markets · ~2 per market

EV / position

+$1.48

avg win $1

Profit Factor

∞

no losses yet

Reward / Risk

—

need wins & losses

Max Drawdown

$0

no drawdown

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	100.0% 2W/0L	6	$71
🏛 Politics	—	1	$10
💵 Economy	—	1	$10

Open positions

35 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	146	0.615	$89.79	$-14.00	-13.5%
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?	Yes	145	0.225	$32.62	$-8.10	-19.9%
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?	Yes	165	0.115	$18.98	$-31.61	-62.5%
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026?	Yes	70	0.244	$17.12	$11.65	+213.5%
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	120	0.086	$10.26	$2.10	+25.7%
Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81	Yes	123	0.065	$8.01	$-15.72	-66.2%
Will the Republican Party win the CA-06 House seat?	Yes	156	0.041	$6.30	$-5.93	-48.5%
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	20	0.184	$3.69	$-0.19	-4.9%
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman by September 30, 2026?	Yes	59	0.054	$3.19	$2.55	+395.4%
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	100	0.030	$3.05	$0.65	+27.1%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	Yes	10	0.305	$3.05	$-1.65	-35.1%
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	20	0.146	$2.93	$1.07	+57.5%
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	10	0.278	$2.77	$0.67	+31.5%
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?	Yes	9	0.277	$2.55	$2.18	+590.3%
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	100	0.022	$2.20	$0.60	+37.5%
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	110	0.015	$1.65	$-1.19	-42.0%
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	20	0.065	$1.30	$-1.60	-55.2%
Congress approves Iran deal in 2026?	Yes	10	0.130	$1.30	$-0.70	-35.0%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?	Yes	5	0.225	$1.12	$-0.12	-10.0%
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	100	0.011	$1.05	$-0.45	-30.0%
Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	150	0.006	$0.90	$-0.75	-45.4%
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Turkey by September 30, 2026?	Yes	100	0.009	$0.90	$0.40	+80.0%
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Austria by September 30, 2026?	Yes	100	0.009	$0.85	$-1.15	-57.5%
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	100	0.007	$0.75	$-0.35	-31.8%
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another country by September 30, 2026?	Yes	89	0.007	$0.66	$-1.40	-67.8%