0x2282A5Df686F9Dd2326BbA576226850D439273E8-1773345042185
0x2282a5df686f9dd2326bba576226850d439273e8
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$36
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$699
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-0.4%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
31%
8W / 18L · 216 open
Win Return (30d)
76%
151W / 49L · 42 open
Trades (30d)
242
across 24 markets · ~10 per market
EV / position
−$11.87
avg win $6 · loss $21
Profit Factor
0.14
$6 won / $41 lost
Reward / Risk
0.27
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $3,663 · all-time $169,064
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Open positions
8 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Will Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election? |
Yes |
2,726 |
0.695 |
$1,894.34 |
$225.37 |
+13.5% |
| Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? |
No |
1,775 |
0.715 |
$1,268.79 |
$159.63 |
+14.4% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? |
No |
1,260 |
0.835 |
$1,052.10 |
$-34.80 |
-3.2% |
| Will Mike Lindell win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election? |
Yes |
1,112 |
0.805 |
$895.01 |
$279.01 |
+45.3% |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026? |
No |
1,361 |
0.605 |
$823.22 |
$-14.58 |
-1.7% |
| Will Utah use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? |
Yes |
659 |
0.905 |
$596.49 |
$34.78 |
+6.2% |
| Will there be no next High Representative for Bosnia and Herzegovina in 2026? |
Yes |
500 |
0.745 |
$372.50 |
$96.14 |
+34.8% |
| Will Bola Tinubu win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election? |
Yes |
400 |
0.685 |
$274.00 |
$18.00 |
+7.0% |