5igma
0x225e371b6acfb92b6047de6851eb946637da05b1
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$2
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$10
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-0.9%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
0%
0W / 11L · 69 open
Win Return (30d)
23%
18W / 60L · 2 open
Trades (30d)
80
across 12 markets · ~7 per market
EV / position
−$1.18
· loss $1
Profit Factor
0.00
$0 won / $2 lost
Reward / Risk
—
need wins & losses
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $214 · all-time $15,235
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
4 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? |
Yes |
11 |
0.356 |
$3.95 |
$0.01 |
+0.1% |
| Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
Yes |
40 |
0.072 |
$2.90 |
$-0.38 |
-11.6% |
| Macron out by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
20 |
0.098 |
$1.95 |
$-1.85 |
-48.7% |
| Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
8 |
0.060 |
$0.50 |
$0.08 |
+20.0% |