PnL (30d)

+$1,404

Politics · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$446

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+10.1%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

58%

7W / 5L · 44 open

Win Return (30d)

64%

36W / 20L

Trades (30d)

56

across 7 markets · ~8 per market

EV / position

+$468.15

avg win $1,298 · loss $1,192

Profit Factor

2.18

$2,596 won / $1,192 lost

Reward / Risk

1.09

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

$0

no drawdown

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	68.0% 581W/274L	31	$113,533
🏛 Politics	100.0% 2W/0L	3	$1,719

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

6 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?	Yes	3,716	0.607	$2,254.02	$-350.49	-13.5%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?	Yes	6,121	0.028	$168.34	$-21.36	-11.3%
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?	Yes	3,351	0.020	$67.01	$-160.32	-70.5%
Will July 2026 be the 3rd hottest on record?	Yes	1,019	0.046	$47.40	$-125.89	-72.6%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?	No	21,001	0.001	$10.50	$-6,271.09	-99.8%
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	1,560	0.001	$0.78	$-187.34	-99.6%