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Trader leaderboard/predictgeek

predictgeek

0x21ff16230285273f6097846437b46d35e97f5e2a
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$11,247
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$2
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+10.7%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
98%
192W / 4L · 7 open
Win Return (30d)
96%
194W / 9L
Trades (30d)
203
across 8 markets · ~25 per market
EV / position
+$2,249.43
avg win $2,814 · loss $7
Profit Factor
1,626.31
$11,254 won / $7 lost
Reward / Risk
406.58
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$6
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $9,336 · all-time $5,378,191

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 50.2% 365W/362L 124 $239,154
💵 Economy 0.0% 0W/2L 22 $3,710
₿ Crypto — 14 $1,067
⚽ Sports — 8 $937
🏛 Politics 0.0% 0W/2L 4 $2,202
🤖 Tech — 3 $88

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

61 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Fed rate hike in 2026? No 4,852 0.375 $1,819.50 $398.86 +28.1%
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open? No 780 0.895 $698.49 $-11.10 -1.6%
Will Titan launch a token by December 31, 2026? No 557 0.910 $506.87 $16.62 +3.4%
Will STRC hit $100 by September 30? No 668 0.675 $450.90 $-117.31 -20.6%
Will Titan launch a token by September 30, 2026? No 162 0.950 $153.90 $5.13 +3.5%
Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026 No 174 0.865 $150.51 $3.49 +2.4%
Will Gen.G Esports win the LCK 2026 season playoffs? Yes 446 0.245 $109.37 $-119.04 -52.1%
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch? No 347 0.235 $81.55 $11.48 +16.4%
Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026? Yes 2,910 0.028 $80.03 $19.13 +31.4%
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's US Open? Yes 132 0.585 $77.22 $0.69 +0.9%
Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2026 World Series? Yes 7,905 0.009 $75.10 $2.42 +3.3%
StandX FDV above $400M one day after launch? No 80 0.795 $63.60 $4.40 +7.4%
Will Tread launch a token by December 31, 2026? No 112 0.480 $53.76 $18.64 +53.1%
Will MGM Resorts be acquired before 2027? No 82 0.595 $48.79 $0.41 +0.8%
Will STRC hit $100 by December 31? No 104 0.465 $48.36 $-15.04 -23.7%
Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026? Yes 914 0.047 $42.96 $-2.58 -5.7%
StandX FDV above $200M one day after launch? Yes 104 0.380 $39.52 $-23.53 -37.3%
Will Tread launch a token by September 30, 2026? No 45 0.755 $33.98 $12.38 +57.3%
Will Hibachi launch a token by September 30, 2026? No 36 0.869 $31.28 $1.40 +4.7%
Will Oro launch a token by December 31, 2026? No 36 0.850 $30.60 $2.97 +10.7%
Will Brown-Forman be acquired before 2027? Yes 148 0.195 $28.86 $4.67 +19.3%
Ink FDV above $250M one day after launch? Yes 81 0.235 $19.04 $-7.14 -27.3%
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No 150 0.114 $17.02 $-1.16 -6.4%
Kraken IPO closing market cap above $16B? No 20 0.835 $16.70 $0.29 +1.8%
Will Loopscale launch a token by September 30, 2026? No 16 0.969 $15.50 $0.94 +6.4%