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Trader leaderboard/rjpoly

rjpoly

0x21fe77f7c7861c5f0a70a26ae86dfbaf1c5eda90
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$5
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$39
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-1.5%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
0%
0W / 6L · 90 open
Win Return (30d)
77%
74W / 22L
Trades (30d)
96
across 8 markets · ~12 per market
EV / position
−$2.56
· loss $3
Profit Factor
0.00
$0 won / $5 lost
Reward / Risk
need wins & losses
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $100 · all-time $1,256,164

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 79.6% 39W/10L 27 $2,459
🏛 Politics 1 $47

Open positions

43 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Tim Walz resign by December 31, 2026? No 1,232 0.945 $1,164.21 $240.72 +26.1%
Will the Democrats win the New York governor race in 2026? Yes 1,162 0.935 $1,086.90 $44.06 +4.2%
Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026? No 843 0.955 $805.06 $113.80 +16.5%
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes 69,997 0.011 $804.97 $-158.96 -16.5%
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No 1,300 0.540 $702.64 $109.65 +18.5%
Sundar Pichai out as Google CEO before 2027? No 700 0.942 $659.40 $94.40 +16.7%
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027? No 674 0.825 $555.77 $84.02 +17.8%
Will the Democrats win the Minnesota governor race in 2026? Yes 500 0.935 $467.49 $12.50 +2.7%
Andy Jassy out as Amazon CEO before 2027? No 388 0.906 $352.00 $32.22 +10.1%
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends? Yes 500 0.655 $327.50 $-22.50 -6.4%
Will the Democrats win the New Mexico governor race in 2026? Yes 299 0.895 $267.30 $31.36 +13.3%
AI bubble burst in 2026? No 300 0.839 $251.70 $27.70 +12.4%
Will the Democrats win the Connecticut governor race in 2026? Yes 260 0.925 $240.62 $0.44 +0.2%
Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes 50,000 0.004 $225.00 $-84.65 -27.3%
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes 250 0.823 $205.62 $171.44 +501.4%
Brian Armstrong out as Coinbase CEO before 2027? No 200 0.935 $187.01 $1.00 +0.5%
Will the Democrats win the Illinois governor race in 2026? Yes 159 0.935 $148.96 $2.39 +1.6%
Will the Democrats win the Maryland governor race in 2026? Yes 133 0.936 $124.73 $1.04 +0.8%
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? No 100 0.977 $97.65 $1.85 +1.9%
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? No 100 0.945 $94.50 $4.50 +5.0%
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? Yes 200 0.445 $89.00 $-55.00 -38.2%
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes 5,000 0.015 $72.50 $7.50 +11.5%
Will Ned Lamont win the 2026 Connecticut Governor Democratic primary election? Yes 72 0.985 $70.39 $16.77 +31.3%
Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes 10,000 0.004 $45.00 $-2.99 -6.2%
OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026? Yes 100 0.374 $37.45 $-27.55 -42.4%