| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? |
No |
34,534 |
0.962 |
$33,204.35 |
$-256.07 |
-0.8% |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027? |
No |
27,038 |
0.954 |
$25,780.29 |
$494.14 |
+2.0% |
| Trump out as President before 2027? |
No |
23,197 |
0.935 |
$21,689.28 |
$248.09 |
+1.2% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? |
No |
15,958 |
0.961 |
$15,327.50 |
$-23.22 |
-0.2% |
| Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? |
No |
9,777 |
0.977 |
$9,547.66 |
$552.42 |
+6.1% |
| Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? |
No |
9,141 |
0.915 |
$8,363.69 |
$282.92 |
+3.5% |
| Russia coup attempt in 2026? |
No |
8,962 |
0.925 |
$8,290.12 |
$158.18 |
+1.9% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31? |
No |
7,736 |
0.964 |
$7,457.42 |
$210.50 |
+2.9% |
| Will Anthropic be acquired before 2027? |
No |
7,326 |
0.955 |
$6,996.71 |
$204.41 |
+3.0% |
| Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026? |
No |
7,246 |
0.933 |
$6,760.35 |
$136.18 |
+2.1% |
| 9.0 or above earthquake before 2027? |
No |
6,127 |
0.933 |
$5,719.21 |
$358.86 |
+6.7% |
| Will HYPE flip SOL by December 31? |
No |
5,999 |
0.920 |
$5,519.28 |
$181.08 |
+3.4% |
| JD Vance out as VP by December 31? |
No |
4,794 |
0.945 |
$4,530.75 |
$49.34 |
+1.1% |
| Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026? |
No |
4,647 |
0.954 |
$4,430.78 |
$-6.54 |
-0.1% |
| Will Monero hit $1000 in 2026? |
No |
4,176 |
0.945 |
$3,945.85 |
$656.68 |
+20.0% |
| Will Iran legalize gay marriage? |
No |
3,163 |
0.979 |
$3,095.25 |
$14.48 |
+0.5% |
| Will there be between 17 and 19 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? |
Yes |
10,658 |
0.285 |
$3,036.56 |
$1,049.44 |
+52.8% |
| Will GameStop acquire eBay? |
No |
3,412 |
0.875 |
$2,985.78 |
$82.58 |
+2.8% |
| Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? |
Yes |
6,664 |
0.440 |
$2,932.11 |
$1,225.48 |
+71.8% |
| Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026? |
No |
2,923 |
0.945 |
$2,762.19 |
$36.28 |
+1.3% |
| Will American Airlines announce bankruptcy by December 31? |
No |
2,674 |
0.971 |
$2,595.56 |
$120.97 |
+4.9% |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? |
No |
2,658 |
0.925 |
$2,458.64 |
$39.60 |
+1.6% |
| Iran Nuke before 2027? |
No |
2,457 |
0.948 |
$2,328.83 |
$117.43 |
+5.3% |
| Trump meets with Mojtaba Khamenei by December 31? |
No |
2,396 |
0.968 |
$2,319.32 |
$56.44 |
+2.5% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31? |
No |
2,285 |
0.964 |
$2,201.98 |
$30.43 |
+1.4% |