| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
No |
97 |
0.835 |
$81.31 |
$-5.35 |
-6.2% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? |
Yes |
20 |
0.625 |
$12.54 |
$-4.01 |
-24.2% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? |
Yes |
10 |
0.865 |
$8.81 |
$0.51 |
+6.1% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? |
Yes |
46 |
0.165 |
$7.62 |
$1.62 |
+26.9% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? |
Yes |
10 |
0.675 |
$6.98 |
$0.83 |
+13.4% |
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? |
No |
10 |
0.680 |
$6.90 |
$0.30 |
+4.6% |
| Will Count Binface win 20–30% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? |
No |
10 |
0.640 |
$6.39 |
$-1.80 |
-22.0% |
| Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
35 |
0.170 |
$5.91 |
$-4.09 |
-40.9% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31? |
No |
5 |
0.925 |
$4.62 |
$1.57 |
+51.6% |
| Iran full airspace closure by August 31? |
No |
5 |
0.890 |
$4.51 |
$0.31 |
+7.3% |
| Will there be two UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027? |
Yes |
5 |
0.855 |
$4.33 |
$0.23 |
+5.6% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? |
No |
5 |
0.695 |
$3.52 |
$-0.13 |
-3.5% |
| Will Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2026? |
Yes |
4 |
0.735 |
$2.71 |
$-0.12 |
-4.3% |
| Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record? |
Yes |
5 |
0.330 |
$1.65 |
$-1.50 |
-47.6% |
| Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election? |
No |
20 |
0.034 |
$0.68 |
$-5.37 |
-88.8% |
| Will Count Binface win less than 10% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? |
Yes |
5 |
0.070 |
$0.35 |
$-1.25 |
-78.1% |