PnL (30d)

+$442

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$177

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+24.6%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

64%

600W / 337L · 991 open

Win Return (30d)

78%

1,352W / 382L · 194 open

Trades (30d)

1,928

across 55 markets · ~35 per market

EV / position

+$14.26

avg win $33 · loss $8

Profit Factor

4.78

$559 won / $117 lost

Reward / Risk

3.94

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$3

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	64.0% 600W/337L	55	$4,057
🏛 Politics	—	3	$18
⚽ Sports	—	3	$32

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

70 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Vinicius Junior join Bayern Munich?	Yes	16,616	0.005	$91.39	$74.77	+450.0%
Will Massoud Rajavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Yes	11,013	0.002	$16.52	$5.51	+50.0%
Will Vinicius Junior join Al-Nassr?	Yes	10,261	0.002	$15.39	$5.13	+50.0%
Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	1,000	0.015	$15.00	$14.00	+1400.0%
Will Québec solidaire win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?	Yes	9,675	0.002	$14.51	$4.84	+50.0%
Will Shimelis Abdisa be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?	Yes	2,570	0.005	$12.85	$10.28	+400.0%
Will Belete Molla be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?	Yes	2,010	0.006	$12.06	$10.05	+500.0%
Will Morez Johnson Jr. win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?	Yes	2,109	0.004	$9.49	$7.38	+350.0%
Will Reza Pirzadeh be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Yes	6,172	0.002	$9.26	$3.09	+50.0%
Will Jorge Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	1,923	0.004	$8.65	$6.73	+350.0%
Will Adanech Abiebie be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?	Yes	4,116	0.002	$8.23	$4.12	+100.0%
Will Seyed Hossein Mousavian be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Yes	4,018	0.002	$6.03	$2.01	+50.0%
Will Nasir Hosseini be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Yes	3,843	0.002	$5.76	$1.92	+50.0%
Will Mustafa Hijri be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Yes	3,797	0.002	$5.70	$1.90	+50.0%
Will Ahmad Hosseini Khorasani be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Yes	3,756	0.002	$5.63	$1.88	+50.0%
Will Joshua Jefferson win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?	Yes	2,162	0.003	$5.40	$3.24	+150.0%
Will Shelley Hughes win the 2026 Alaska governor election?	Yes	890	0.006	$5.34	$4.45	+500.0%
Will Sadegh Mahsouli be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Yes	3,550	0.002	$5.32	$1.77	+50.0%
Will the Christian Democrats (KD) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?	Yes	3,492	0.002	$5.24	$1.75	+50.0%
Will Pedri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	10,000	0.001	$5.00	$-15.00	-75.0%
Will Navid Shomali be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Yes	3,001	0.002	$4.50	$1.50	+50.0%
Will the Citizens' Coalition (MED) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?	Yes	2,833	0.002	$4.25	$1.42	+50.0%
Will Parti vert du Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?	Yes	8,346	0.001	$4.17	$-4.17	-50.0%
Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	1,500	0.003	$3.75	$2.25	+150.0%
Will the Left Party (V) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?	Yes	2,295	0.002	$3.44	$1.15	+50.0%