PnL (30d)

−$593

Politics · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$551

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-24.6%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

0%

0W / 44L · 101 open

Win Return (30d)

3%

4W / 130L · 11 open

Trades (30d)

145

across 21 markets · ~7 per market

EV / position

−$148.25

· loss $148

Profit Factor

0.00

$0 won / $593 lost

Reward / Risk

—

need wins & losses

Max Drawdown

−$2

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	0.0% 0W/53L	28	$4,298
🏛 Politics	0.0% 0W/2L	8	$109

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

44 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will there be no Somaliland parliamentary election before 2027?	Yes	727	0.945	$687.09	$56.58	+9.0%
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	800	0.702	$561.19	$-13.53	-2.4%
Will Tyler Kistner be the Republican Nominee for MN-02?	No	492	0.987	$485.51	$52.41	+12.1%
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	426	0.635	$270.52	$12.29	+4.8%
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-38 House seat?	Yes	191	0.935	$178.30	$4.77	+2.7%
Will Core CPI YoY be 2.4% in July?	No	225	0.725	$163.41	$-14.88	-8.3%
Will the Democratic Party win the AL-03 House seat?	No	160	0.970	$155.51	$9.54	+6.5%
Will the Democratic Party win the IL-01 House seat?	Yes	119	0.941	$111.93	$0.42	+0.4%
Will the Democratic Party win the IL-10 House seat?	Yes	88	0.935	$82.17	$0.13	+0.2%
Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-08 House seat?	Yes	83	0.945	$78.53	$2.08	+2.7%
Will Nancy Dahlstrom win the 2026 Alaska governor election?	No	74	0.993	$73.63	$13.31	+22.1%
Will the Democratic Party win the VA-08 House seat?	Yes	69	0.935	$64.60	$1.73	+2.7%
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	237	0.255	$60.37	$20.12	+50.0%
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	1,372	0.034	$46.64	$-275.87	-85.5%
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 26 or 27 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections?	No	55	0.805	$43.94	$11.89	+37.1%
Will the Democrats win the New Mexico Senate race in 2026?	Yes	46	0.934	$42.53	$-0.25	-0.6%
Will the Republican Party win the NV-02 House seat?	Yes	55	0.745	$40.95	$-3.57	-8.0%
Will Laurent Wauquiez be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	36	0.971	$34.83	$1.76	+5.3%
Will Allen Waters be the Republican nominee for Senate in Rhode Island?	No	30	0.977	$29.74	$0.71	+2.4%
Will the Democrats win the New York governor race in 2026?	Yes	30	0.935	$28.05	$1.65	+6.2%
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?	No	48	0.435	$20.79	$2.15	+11.5%
Will Bernard Cazeneuve win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	3,594	0.004	$16.17	$-12.58	-43.8%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	216	0.054	$11.66	$-16.75	-59.0%
Will Indiana use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?	No	10	0.950	$9.52	$0.00	+0.0%
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	466	0.019	$8.85	$-2.39	-21.2%