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Trader leaderboard/agagyu

agagyu

0x2136af6ba9332e2947d5c477aa8ab807f64cee56
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$603
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$1,731
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+1.0%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
97%
56W / 2L · 61 open
Win Return (30d)
94%
112W / 7L
Trades (30d)
119
across 11 markets · ~11 per market
EV / position
+$301.51
avg win $767 · loss $164
Profit Factor
4.68
$767 won / $164 lost
Reward / Risk
4.68
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$31
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $6,506 · all-time $1,420,554

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 97.9% 92W/2L 21 $113,187
🏛 Politics 0.0% 0W/9L 6 $23,305

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

11 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? No 33,848 0.981 $33,187.88 $1,517.54 +4.8%
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No 17,625 0.935 $16,479.36 $1,748.05 +11.9%
Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by August 31, 2026? No 5,310 0.940 $4,991.37 $234.09 +4.9%
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026? No 4,870 0.964 $4,692.08 $799.21 +20.5%
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027? No 5,562 0.590 $3,281.31 $557.11 +20.5%
Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No 1,544 0.945 $1,459.55 $141.31 +10.7%
Will Turkey rejoin the F-35 program by December 31, 2026? No 318 0.895 $284.80 $4.77 +1.7%
Will Turkey rejoin the F-35 program by June 30, 2027? No 120 0.670 $80.40 $6.20 +8.4%
Will Trump speak to Maria Corina Machado in August? No 40 0.933 $37.06 $-0.43 -1.2%
Will Qatar join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No 27 0.912 $24.45 $1.19 +5.1%
Will Clarence Thomas announce his retirement by September 30, 2026? No 19 0.940 $17.46 $0.74 +4.4%