| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? |
Yes |
800 |
0.675 |
$540.28 |
$87.04 |
+19.2% |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
1,000 |
0.117 |
$116.53 |
$-34.69 |
-22.9% |
| Will GameStop acquire eBay? |
No |
121 |
0.875 |
$105.97 |
$3.25 |
+3.2% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
427 |
0.245 |
$104.51 |
$9.92 |
+10.5% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
Yes |
400 |
0.261 |
$104.20 |
$10.41 |
+11.1% |
| Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? |
No |
113 |
0.906 |
$102.65 |
$-1.13 |
-1.1% |
| Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026? |
No |
95 |
0.955 |
$90.78 |
$2.11 |
+2.4% |
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? |
No |
125 |
0.680 |
$85.03 |
$10.00 |
+13.3% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? |
No |
100 |
0.845 |
$84.50 |
$9.50 |
+12.7% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? |
No |
100 |
0.755 |
$75.51 |
$18.50 |
+32.5% |
| Fed rate hike in 2026? |
No |
200 |
0.375 |
$75.00 |
$-14.00 |
-15.7% |
| Iran leadership change by September 30? |
No |
75 |
0.945 |
$71.22 |
$4.31 |
+6.4% |
| Iran leadership change by December 31? |
No |
81 |
0.855 |
$69.39 |
$1.37 |
+2.0% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? |
Yes |
100 |
0.625 |
$62.50 |
$-11.50 |
-15.5% |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026? |
No |
101 |
0.605 |
$60.99 |
$19.71 |
+47.7% |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? |
Yes |
167 |
0.358 |
$59.61 |
$-0.62 |
-1.0% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? |
No |
65 |
0.835 |
$54.39 |
$-3.31 |
-5.7% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? |
No |
52 |
0.958 |
$50.27 |
$0.39 |
+0.8% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? |
No |
71 |
0.645 |
$45.78 |
$-1.77 |
-3.7% |
| US x China tariff agreement by December 31? |
Yes |
50 |
0.889 |
$44.47 |
$0.72 |
+1.7% |
| Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? |
Yes |
202 |
0.213 |
$43.07 |
$-13.46 |
-23.8% |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027? |
No |
63 |
0.585 |
$36.60 |
$-4.07 |
-10.0% |
| Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? |
Yes |
125 |
0.285 |
$35.74 |
$-13.15 |
-26.9% |
| Will IShowSpeed attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? |
No |
38 |
0.905 |
$34.68 |
$0.73 |
+2.2% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? |
No |
43 |
0.745 |
$32.21 |
$2.93 |
+10.0% |