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Trader leaderboard/rebotsliaf

rebotsliaf

0x206191d01c411a5b346d11a2df2d463a356b8ec9
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$2,771
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$2,502
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+3.4%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
64%
50W / 28L · 176 open
Win Return (30d)
87%
222W / 32L
Trades (30d)
254
across 9 markets · ~28 per market
EV / position
+$923.65
avg win $1,445 · loss $118
Profit Factor
24.46
$2,889 won / $118 lost
Reward / Risk
12.23
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$118
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $90,995 · all-time $21,539,269

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 65.9% 1,478W/764L 74 $529,160
🏛 Politics 28.2% 11W/28L 5 $62,256
💵 Economy 100.0% 11W/0L 1 $13,624
🎬 Culture 0.0% 0W/28L 1 $118
⚽ Sports 100.0% 4W/0L 1 $627

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

21 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No 88,888 0.723 $64,221.58 $19,777.58 +44.5%
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes 78,188 0.445 $34,793.80 $390.94 +1.1%
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes 88,888 0.278 $24,666.42 $-19,777.58 -44.5%
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 24,320 0.835 $20,306.81 $1,935.66 +10.5%
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? Yes 10,496 0.675 $7,084.73 $589.67 +9.1%
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes 12,573 0.455 $5,720.82 $302.66 +5.6%
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes 34,251 0.143 $4,915.05 $2,249.21 +84.4%
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes 5,299 0.595 $3,153.02 $28.44 +0.9%
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch? No 9,648 0.255 $2,460.11 $358.07 +17.0%
Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch? No 3,333 0.330 $1,099.89 $166.65 +17.9%
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No 1,111 0.685 $761.03 $138.87 +22.3%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Yes 1,111 0.645 $716.58 $294.41 +69.7%
Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch? No 3,582 0.195 $698.45 $411.91 +143.7%
Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? No 463 0.994 $459.74 $24.65 +5.7%
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes 14,379 0.030 $438.57 $52.05 +13.5%
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No 464 0.854 $395.91 $-22.96 -5.5%
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes 1,111 0.135 $149.43 $26.11 +21.2%
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes 5,555 0.004 $22.22 $-5.55 -20.0%
Iran full airspace closure by August 31? No 21 0.885 $18.59 $8.93 +92.4%
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? Yes 33 0.019 $0.64 $-0.08 -11.4%
Will Graham Platner win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes 51 0.003 $0.13 $-0.08 -37.5%