PnL (30d)

−$2,142

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$362

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-32.8%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

48%

15W / 16L · 9 open

Win Return (30d)

55%

22W / 18L

Trades (30d)

40

across 11 markets · ~4 per market

EV / position

−$267.77

avg win $58 · loss $463

Profit Factor

0.08

$175 won / $2,317 lost

Reward / Risk

0.13

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$1,928

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	48.4% 15W/16L	11	$7,777
🏛 Politics	0.0% 0W/3L	2	$1,139

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

4 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	2,508	0.786	$1,972.48	$369.92	+23.1%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	927	0.655	$607.08	$220.97	+57.2%
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	380	0.927	$352.67	$36.54	+11.6%
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?	No	227	0.961	$218.19	$41.00	+23.1%