spicy3
0x1fe8885f82c4e395c8ba6dc1072113384f826e25
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$330
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$235
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+17.3%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
100%
47W / 0L · 57 open
Win Return (30d)
47%
49W / 55L
Trades (30d)
104
across 12 markets · ~9 per market
EV / position
+$109.93
avg win $110
Profit Factor
∞
no losses yet
Reward / Risk
—
need wins & losses
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $1,440 · all-time $135,195
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Open positions
5 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026? |
No |
596 |
0.875 |
$521.62 |
$-5.37 |
-1.0% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
No |
379 |
0.944 |
$357.74 |
$-2.03 |
-0.6% |
| Israel closes its airspace by August 15? |
No |
224 |
0.935 |
$209.08 |
$5.59 |
+2.7% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31? |
No |
165 |
0.966 |
$159.61 |
$7.52 |
+4.9% |
| Iran leadership change by September 30? |
No |
136 |
0.945 |
$128.36 |
$-0.68 |
-0.5% |