PnL (30d)

−$400

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$870

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-2.7%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

41%

26W / 37L · 40 open

Win Return (30d)

50%

51W / 52L

Trades (30d)

103

across 22 markets · ~5 per market

EV / position

−$24.97

avg win $85 · loss $110

Profit Factor

0.60

$594 won / $994 lost

Reward / Risk

0.77

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

$0

no drawdown

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	41.3% 26W/37L	22	$22,564
💵 Economy	—	1	$5,736

Open positions

6 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?	No	4,708	0.987	$4,646.37	$248.58	+5.7%
Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	7,239	0.375	$2,714.58	$253.36	+10.3%
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?	Yes	1,500	0.855	$1,282.50	$502.50	+64.4%
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	2,044	0.115	$235.07	$-898.53	-79.3%
Will Susie Wiles leave the Trump administration before 2027?	No	198	0.800	$158.24	$24.61	+18.4%
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	Yes	112	0.305	$34.25	$-16.18	-32.1%