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Trader

0x1f62c45089614597d19587613ad996a5a85a9472
Scoped to Culture — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$36
Culture · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$10
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
no reliable basis
Win Resolved (30d)
73%
36W / 13L · 17 open
Win Return (30d)
74%
48W / 17L · 1 open
Trades (30d)
66
across 46 markets · ~1 per market
EV / position
+$1.13
avg win $5 · loss $15
Profit Factor
1.40
$127 won / $91 lost
Reward / Risk
0.32
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$0
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · all-time $41,494

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 73.4% 80W/29L 84 $591
🏛 Politics 0.0% 0W/1L 2 $14
🎬 Culture 0.0% 0W/1L 2 $14

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

105 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will “The Pitt” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding drama series? Yes 50 0.905 $45.25 $38.11 +533.5%
Will Matthew Rhys – “Widow’s Bay” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actor in a comedy series? Yes 39 0.908 $35.86 $27.97 +354.2%
Will Morgan Wallen be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026? Yes 60 0.401 $24.06 $-5.94 -19.8%
Will Sarah Snook – “All Her Fault” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actress in a limited or anthology series or movie? Yes 60 0.385 $23.10 $11.10 +92.5%
James Collier announced as next James Bond? Yes 60 0.327 $19.59 $18.37 +1499.9%
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening week in 2026? Yes 30 0.600 $18.30 $17.45 +2060.1%
Outstanding lead actress in a limited or anthology series or movie? Yes 60 0.275 $16.50 $4.50 +37.5%
Will Harrison Ford – “Shrinking” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actor in a comedy series? Yes 34 0.445 $15.04 $10.21 +211.5%
Jack Lowdon announced as next James Bond? Yes 43 0.286 $12.26 $11.38 +1300.9%
Michael B Jordan announced as next James Bond? Yes 60 0.186 $11.16 $9.94 +811.4%
Theo James announced as next James Bond? Yes 42 0.268 $11.15 $10.30 +1213.2%
No one announced as next James Bond? Yes 45 0.206 $9.29 $8.37 +911.8%
Josh O'Connor announced as next James Bond? Yes 60 0.152 $9.15 $7.93 +647.3%
Will Bad Bunny be the third most streamed artist for 2026? Yes 60 0.147 $8.82 $6.09 +223.4%
Will The Odyssey get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards? Yes 11 0.795 $8.80 $8.30 +1649.0%
James Norton announced as next James Bond? Yes 60 0.139 $8.31 $7.09 +578.7%
Timothee Chalamet announced as next James Bond? Yes 49 0.168 $8.23 $7.23 +723.2%
Will Sally Field – “Remarkably Bright Creatures” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actress in a limited or anthology series or movie? Yes 57 0.135 $7.70 $-3.71 -32.5%
Will “Last Week Tonight With John Oliver” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety series? Yes 28 0.216 $6.09 $0.46 +8.2%
Paul Mescal announced as next James Bond? Yes 41 0.145 $5.96 $5.12 +612.9%
Jacob Elordi announced as next James Bond? Yes 45 0.117 $5.26 $4.34 +473.3%
Will Connor Storrie be named People's Sexiest Man Alive in 2026? Yes 60 0.085 $5.10 $5.10 +0.0%
Will Bad Bunny be named People's Sexiest Man Alive in 2026? Yes 20 0.260 $5.09 $5.09 +0.0%
Will Ariana Grande be the third most streamed artist for 2026? Yes 60 0.082 $4.89 $-25.11 -83.7%
Will Taylor Brown win Big Brother season 28? Yes 60 0.079 $4.71 $3.25 +221.9%