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Trader leaderboard/ChainReaction-392

ChainReaction-392

0x1f5a521a3264025f8e9660a1b11798300f3a1d35
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$2
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$23
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-2.5%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
0%
0W / 2L · 45 open
Win Return (30d)
96%
45W / 2L
Trades (30d)
47
across 5 markets · ~9 per market
EV / position
−$2.50
· loss $2
Profit Factor
0.00
$0 won / $2 lost
Reward / Risk
need wins & losses
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $73 · all-time $258,963

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 0.0% 0W/19L 13 $391
🏛 Politics 2 $58
₿ Crypto 1 $52
💵 Economy 1 $52

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

11 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes 713 0.660 $470.88 $211.13 +81.3%
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No 570 0.490 $279.29 $-47.93 -14.6%
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No 277 0.685 $189.93 $15.85 +9.1%
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes 500 0.325 $162.50 $22.50 +16.1%
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by December 31, 2026? Yes 837 0.185 $154.90 $16.36 +11.8%
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes 2,935 0.048 $139.41 $34.31 +32.6%
Will an international court find Israel or its leaders guilty of Genocide by December 31, 2027? No 73 0.820 $59.70 $8.74 +17.1%
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No 50 0.605 $30.25 $7.25 +31.5%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August? Yes 100 0.145 $14.50 $-37.50 -72.1%
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by December 31, 2026? Yes 100 0.144 $14.40 $4.40 +44.0%
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? Yes 100 0.125 $12.50 $2.50 +25.0%