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Trader leaderboard/Trader

Trader

0x1f451df45d88896731b0d3b98dd3e067f34497ce
PnL (30d)
+$145
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$165
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+2.9%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
47%
21W / 24L · 53 open
Win Return (30d)
46%
45W / 53L
Trades (30d)
98
across 38 markets · ~3 per market
EV / position
+$9.64
avg win $41 · loss $26
Profit Factor
1.79
$328 won / $183 lost
Reward / Risk
1.57
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$35
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $531 · all-time $117,063

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 46.7% 21W/24L 38 $6,013
🏛 Politics 1 $249

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

16 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 1,900 0.835 $1,586.50 $175.50 +12.4%
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No 600 0.745 $447.00 $33.00 +8.0%
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No 200 0.680 $136.00 $-4.00 -2.9%
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes 200 0.655 $131.00 $-23.00 -14.9%
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? No 100 0.845 $84.50 $1.50 +1.8%
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026? Yes 300 0.275 $82.50 $-1.50 -1.8%
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? Yes 155 0.460 $71.50 $-3.45 -4.6%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in August? No 86 0.635 $54.89 $2.16 +4.1%
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes 100 0.460 $45.95 $4.75 +11.5%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? Yes 55 0.780 $42.90 $13.20 +44.4%
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 Yes 50 0.820 $40.99 $7.00 +20.6%
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding? No 100 0.395 $39.45 $-20.25 -33.9%
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes 200 0.184 $36.90 $-3.10 -7.8%
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes 100 0.335 $33.50 $1.50 +4.7%
Andrew Tate released from custody by December 31, 2026? Yes 40 0.230 $9.20 $-4.00 -30.3%
Andrew Tate Extradited to UK by Sep 30? Yes 50 0.075 $3.75 $-3.25 -46.4%