PnL (30d)

−$31

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$14

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-12.2%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

15%

6W / 35L · 68 open

Win Return (30d)

29%

32W / 77L

Trades (30d)

109

across 28 markets · ~4 per market

EV / position

−$2.24

avg win $1 · loss $4

Profit Factor

0.14

$5 won / $37 lost

Reward / Risk

0.36

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

$0

no drawdown

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	14.6% 6W/35L	28	$432
🏛 Politics	—	2	$32

Open positions

5 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Iran full airspace closure by September 30?	Yes	140	0.230	$32.26	$-8.41	-20.7%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?	No	43	0.100	$4.33	$-3.92	-47.5%
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	20	0.165	$3.31	$-1.50	-31.2%
Will Iran target Ukraine by September 30, 2026?	Yes	30	0.055	$1.67	$-0.45	-21.4%
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?	Yes	65	0.019	$1.26	$-1.34	-51.5%