| Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30? |
No |
10,264 |
0.978 |
$10,037.91 |
$75.95 |
+0.8% |
| Modi out by December 31, 2026? |
No |
10,345 |
0.930 |
$9,621.03 |
$141.08 |
+1.5% |
| Yoon out of custody before 2027? |
No |
10,374 |
0.904 |
$9,378.18 |
$190.71 |
+2.1% |
| Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
No |
8,113 |
0.925 |
$7,509.03 |
$146.03 |
+2.0% |
| Will GameStop acquire eBay? |
No |
8,583 |
0.865 |
$7,424.09 |
$133.56 |
+1.8% |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? |
Yes |
8,609 |
0.823 |
$7,081.07 |
$220.00 |
+3.2% |
| Will Prabowo Subianto cease to be President of Indonesia by December 31, 2026? |
No |
7,033 |
0.930 |
$6,540.68 |
$247.74 |
+3.9% |
| Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026? |
No |
6,416 |
0.954 |
$6,117.89 |
$33.36 |
+0.5% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? |
Yes |
5,549 |
0.967 |
$5,363.18 |
$79.92 |
+1.5% |
| Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? |
No |
5,315 |
0.865 |
$4,597.58 |
$-175.78 |
-3.7% |
| Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by December 31, 2026? |
No |
4,356 |
0.915 |
$3,986.19 |
$183.41 |
+4.8% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? |
Yes |
5,162 |
0.675 |
$3,484.17 |
$472.61 |
+15.7% |
| Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by December 31? |
No |
3,385 |
0.944 |
$3,195.16 |
$122.16 |
+4.0% |
| Trump out as President before 2027? |
No |
2,787 |
0.935 |
$2,605.80 |
$16.32 |
+0.6% |
| Will Ignác Romsics be the next President of Hungary? |
No |
2,722 |
0.956 |
$2,602.54 |
$466.62 |
+21.8% |
| Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? |
No |
2,740 |
0.945 |
$2,588.93 |
$45.62 |
+1.8% |
| Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia? |
Yes |
2,461 |
0.956 |
$2,351.15 |
$19.84 |
+0.9% |
| Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? |
No |
2,672 |
0.875 |
$2,338.23 |
$68.25 |
+3.0% |
| Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? |
No |
2,162 |
0.915 |
$1,978.00 |
$43.62 |
+2.3% |
| Will Marat Kambolov win the 2026 South Ossetia presidential elections? |
Yes |
2,009 |
0.969 |
$1,945.29 |
$41.85 |
+2.2% |
| Will Adilet win the most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections? |
Yes |
1,944 |
0.991 |
$1,925.92 |
$48.84 |
+2.6% |
| Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? |
No |
1,981 |
0.970 |
$1,920.10 |
$33.89 |
+1.8% |
| Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? |
No |
2,435 |
0.745 |
$1,814.06 |
$-33.09 |
-1.8% |
| Will Oman join the Abraham Accords before 2027? |
No |
1,717 |
0.947 |
$1,624.71 |
$-3.35 |
-0.2% |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? |
No |
1,928 |
0.835 |
$1,609.93 |
$-23.34 |
-1.4% |