| Will Wayne Rooney attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? |
No |
5,770 |
0.982 |
$5,666.12 |
$419.13 |
+8.0% |
| Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026? |
No |
4,731 |
0.904 |
$4,277.24 |
$1,503.67 |
+54.2% |
| Will Jose Mourinho attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? |
No |
4,323 |
0.979 |
$4,229.79 |
$212.15 |
+5.3% |
| Will Justin Bieber's monthly listeners figure hit 150m by August 31? |
No |
3,419 |
0.993 |
$3,393.53 |
$467.04 |
+16.0% |
| Will IShowSpeed attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? |
No |
2,654 |
0.905 |
$2,401.82 |
$101.82 |
+4.4% |
| Will Karoline Leavitt leave the Trump administration before 2027? |
No |
2,727 |
0.795 |
$2,167.63 |
$373.39 |
+20.8% |
| UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31? |
No |
3,265 |
0.645 |
$2,105.72 |
$-148.98 |
-6.6% |
| Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13? |
Yes |
2,001 |
0.953 |
$1,905.93 |
$133.93 |
+7.6% |
| Trump renames ICE to NICE by December 31? |
No |
2,006 |
0.915 |
$1,835.84 |
$338.20 |
+22.6% |
| Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026? |
No |
2,404 |
0.760 |
$1,827.27 |
$294.16 |
+19.2% |
| Will Marco Rubio attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? |
No |
1,630 |
0.935 |
$1,523.61 |
$148.56 |
+10.8% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
3,781 |
0.355 |
$1,342.13 |
$-142.81 |
-9.6% |
| Will Justin Bieber's monthly listeners figure hit 140m by August 31? |
No |
1,333 |
0.990 |
$1,319.71 |
$580.55 |
+78.5% |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? |
No |
1,292 |
0.830 |
$1,072.04 |
$293.83 |
+37.8% |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? |
No |
1,360 |
0.765 |
$1,040.36 |
$219.36 |
+26.7% |
| Will a ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? |
No |
1,495 |
0.685 |
$1,024.10 |
$22.60 |
+2.3% |
| Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election? |
No |
1,025 |
0.987 |
$1,011.58 |
$67.17 |
+7.1% |
| Will US unemployment reach at least 5.5% in 2026? |
No |
1,079 |
0.938 |
$1,011.10 |
$408.62 |
+67.8% |
| Viktor Orbán arrested by December 31? |
No |
1,205 |
0.820 |
$988.04 |
$58.70 |
+6.3% |
| Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? |
No |
1,167 |
0.830 |
$968.37 |
$153.37 |
+18.8% |
| Insurrection Act invoked by December 31? |
No |
1,105 |
0.815 |
$900.58 |
$178.86 |
+24.8% |
| Spain snap election called in 2026? |
No |
1,134 |
0.780 |
$884.22 |
$162.43 |
+22.5% |
| Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? |
Yes |
1,018 |
0.835 |
$849.93 |
$35.93 |
+4.4% |
| Will voter turnout be between 47% and 50% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election? |
No |
903 |
0.930 |
$839.64 |
$162.51 |
+24.0% |
| Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in August? |
No |
897 |
0.755 |
$677.52 |
$277.52 |
+69.4% |