PnL (30d)

+$479

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$19

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+3.1%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

63%

34W / 20L · 217 open

Win Return (30d)

45%

122W / 149L

Trades (30d)

271

across 16 markets · ~17 per market

EV / position

+$68.37

avg win $278 · loss $15

Profit Factor

7.18

$556 won / $77 lost

Reward / Risk

17.95

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$45

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	63.0% 34W/20L	16	$20,492
🏛 Politics	86.5% 32W/5L	6	$5,077
💵 Economy	83.3% 5W/1L	4	$2,662
₿ Crypto	—	2	$1,155
🎬 Culture	87.1% 27W/4L	2	$1,434
🌤 Weather	—	1	$10,339
🔬 Science	—	1	$10,339

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

5 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	8,748	0.962	$8,411.26	$-50.70	-0.6%
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?	No	403	0.835	$336.75	$-10.85	-3.1%
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?	No	383	0.107	$41.02	$-3.49	-7.8%
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	No	32	0.875	$28.22	$5.64	+25.0%
Will The Odyssey be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?	Yes	21	0.430	$9.05	$1.47	+19.4%