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Trader leaderboard/predictrader

predictrader

0x1ea5c72fca37cabb28c4dcd284e602764d8edc51
Scoped to Weather — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$2
Weather · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
$0
no open positions
ROI (30d)
-4.2%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
33%
2W / 4L
Win Return (30d)
33%
2W / 4L
Trades (30d)
6
across 3 markets · ~2 per market
EV / position
−$0.72
avg win $0 · loss $2
Profit Factor
0.03
$0 won / $2 lost
Reward / Risk
0.02
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$2
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $23,728 · all-time $3,190,864

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 92.5% 233W/19L 132 $115,966
₿ Crypto 100.0% 15W/0L 16 $11,489
🌤 Weather 0.0% 0W/4L 1 $2
💵 Economy 1 $50

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

16 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on August 5? Yes 2,000 1.000 $1,999.00 $1.00 +0.1%
Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch? No 425 0.870 $369.75 $-30.40 -7.6%
Puffpaw FDV above $400M one day after launch? No 100 0.902 $90.25 $-4.55 -4.8%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on August 6? No 40 0.997 $39.88 $-0.04 -0.1%
Will Bitcoin dip to $48,000 August 3-9? No 20 0.999 $19.97 $-0.01 -0.1%
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 August 3-9? No 20 0.998 $19.95 $0.01 +0.0%
Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 August 3-9? No 20 0.995 $19.89 $-0.09 -0.4%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C or below on August 5? No 10 1.000 $9.99 $0.00 +0.0%
Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? No 10 0.994 $9.94 $0.09 +0.9%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on August 5? No 6 1.000 $6.00 $0.00 +0.1%
Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? No 5 1.000 $5.34 $0.34 +6.8%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 37°C or higher on August 5? No 5 1.000 $5.00 $0.00 +0.0%
Will Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? No 5 0.989 $4.94 $0.13 +2.8%
Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? No 5 0.970 $4.85 $0.09 +1.9%
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No 5 0.857 $4.28 $-0.22 -4.8%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on August 6? Yes 1 1.000 $1.00 $0.00 +0.1%