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Trader leaderboard/BSS37

BSS37

0x1e9851cf9c439811937fc19c0a144c8a9fd06345
Scoped to Culture — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$59
Culture · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$7
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
—
no reliable basis
Win Resolved (30d)
95%
20W / 1L · 36 open
Win Return (30d)
78%
42W / 12L · 3 open
Trades (30d)
57
across 40 markets · ~1 per market
EV / position
−$3.72
avg win $2 · loss $97
Profit Factor
0.38
$37 won / $97 lost
Reward / Risk
0.03
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $1,653 · all-time $20,411,481

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 94.7% 72W/4L 453 $1,758
🏛 Politics 100.0% 2W/0L 40 $116
💵 Economy 100.0% 1W/0L 18 $62
₿ Crypto — 10 $43
🎬 Culture 100.0% 1W/0L 5 $6
🤖 Tech 100.0% 1W/0L 4 $7
🔬 Science — 2 $1
🌤 Weather — 1 $0

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

200 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
MagicBlock FDV above $10M one day after launch? No 133 0.473 $62.98 $49.91 +381.9%
Will David Sacks leave the Trump administration before 2027? No 100 0.626 $62.64 $54.64 +683.0%
Will Strava’s market cap be between $7B and $10B at market close on IPO day? Yes 100 0.340 $33.95 $33.65 +11216.7%
Will US GDP growth in 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%? Yes 112 0.255 $28.51 $20.68 +264.3%
Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.00% and 5.49%? Yes 61 0.388 $23.73 $23.49 +9813.0%
Bitcoin BIP-360 implemented in 2026? Yes 101 0.228 $22.94 $14.89 +185.0%
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31? Yes 100 0.175 $17.50 $7.50 +75.0%
Will the Republican Party hold fewer than 22 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes 100 0.175 $17.50 $11.50 +191.7%
Justin Aguiar convicted of sexual assault before 2027? Yes 102 0.171 $17.46 $12.34 +241.0%
Ledger IPO before 2027? Yes 158 0.105 $16.62 $3.96 +31.2%
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day? Yes 100 0.165 $16.50 $6.50 +65.0%
Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures? Yes 129 0.125 $16.09 $3.32 +26.0%
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.5% at the end of 2026? Yes 155 0.102 $15.85 $4.10 +34.9%
Tread FDV above $150M one day after launch Yes 100 0.150 $15.00 $5.00 +50.0%
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day? Yes 126 0.117 $14.63 $8.48 +137.8%
Will Tesla release Optimus by December 31, 2026? Yes 100 0.145 $14.50 $10.50 +262.5%
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2027? Yes 100 0.135 $13.50 $3.50 +35.0%
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Argentina" before 2027? Yes 100 0.135 $13.50 $3.50 +35.0%
Will the Republican Party win the TX-13 House seat? No 200 0.065 $13.00 $-3.00 -18.8%
Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.50% and 5.99%? Yes 108 0.119 $12.86 $12.48 +3317.2%
Brian Armstrong out as Coinbase CEO before 2027? Yes 192 0.065 $12.48 $-2.88 -18.8%
Printr FDV above $300M one day after launch? Yes 200 0.062 $12.40 $-1.60 -11.4%
Will SBF appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31? Yes 71 0.174 $12.37 $10.95 +769.5%
Will StandX launch a token by June 30, 2027? No 50 0.247 $12.35 $10.40 +533.3%
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day? Yes 200 0.059 $11.90 $-0.70 -5.6%